The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 2

[NewYorkExpress]

Harris will be the keynote speaker at the DNC's annual Women's Leadership Forum on May 18. Gillibrand and Kander (who is notably not a woman) will also be there, along with Hillary Clinton who will speak at the opening reception.

https://www.buzzfeed.com/rubycramer/hillary-clinton-dnc-fundraiser?utm_term=.fkPYMVV0l#.nmZX9pplG

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Hmm...Maybe Hillary's going to run after all... I doubt she would be doing this if the thought hadn't at least crossed her mind.

[NewYorkExpress]

Harris will be the keynote speaker at the DNC's annual Women's Leadership Forum on May 18. Gillibrand and Kander (who is notably not a woman) will also be there, along with Hillary Clinton who will speak at the opening reception.

https://www.buzzfeed.com/rubycramer/hillary-clinton-dnc-fundraiser?utm_term=.fkPYMVV0l#.nmZX9pplG

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Hmm...Maybe Hillary's going to run after all... I doubt she would be doing this if the thought hadn't at least crossed her mind.

If she did run, she would have zero chance of winning the primary. almost nobody is going to vote for the candidate who's already a proven loser when so much is on the line.

Tell that to Richard Nixon.

[NewYorkExpress]

Bill Weld positioning himself for a possible 2020 bid for the Libertarian nomination:

https://reason.com/blog/2018/05/02/bill-weld-lays-groundwork-for-2020-liber

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The interesting thing is, if Kasich/Amash et al. don't go through with a primary challenge, Weld would actually be a credible primary opponent for Trump.

[NewYorkExpress]

Report: Kamala Harris heads to Drumpf country for 2020 'shadow campaign'

https://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/Kamala-Harris-2020-election-Drumpf-country-Michigan-12890494.php

We all know she is going to run but this could be an interesting trial to see if she could appeal to, or even salvage, some of those voters that Clinton lost.

I hate how they characterize Michigan & Wisconsin as 'Drumpf country' were they ever described as Obama country? No.

I agree but it is important to remember how and why they voted for Trump if the Democrats want to flip it back in 2020.

They voted for Trump because there was a black man in the White House, and Democrats had just nominated a woman. In other words, they are sexist, racist [insert profanity here].

[NewYorkExpress]

Report: Kamala Harris heads to Drumpf country for 2020 'shadow campaign'

https://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/Kamala-Harris-2020-election-Drumpf-country-Michigan-12890494.php

We all know she is going to run but this could be an interesting trial to see if she could appeal to, or even salvage, some of those voters that Clinton lost.

I hate how they characterize Michigan & Wisconsin as 'Drumpf country' were they ever described as Obama country? No.

I agree but it is important to remember how and why they voted for Trump if the Democrats want to flip it back in 2020.

They voted for Trump because there was a black man in the White House, and Democrats had just nominated a woman. In other words, they are sexist, racist [insert profanity here].

ah yes, that must be why they voted for obama twice

That's called plausible deniability.

[NewYorkExpress]

Blankenship floats a primary challenge to Trump:

https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/the-hazard-of-don-blankenships-senate-campaign-in-west-virginia

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Somebody's bitter that Trump didn't endorse him.

[NewYorkExpress]

Nina Turner asked if she'll run for president:

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/05/21/bernie-sanders-democrats-2018-599331

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That could just refer to who Our Revolution will endorse. If Sanders doesn't run, I expect that'll either be Warren, Gabbard or (Sherrod) Brown.

[NewYorkExpress]

Biden kleaning in:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/joe-biden-steams-midterm-campaigns-2020-question-looms-n879536?cid=eml_nbn_20180603

https://hotair.com/archives/2018/06/04/biden-2020-still-not-off-table/

I have been thinking about Metoo.  If all he has done is some inappropriate touching or swimming in nude in presence of female Secret Service agent, I think it would not hurt him running against Trump.

My question is can the left wing of the party accept him.  Might that depend on a one term pledge and his VP selection?

Another question I guess is whether that is all the Metoo there is.

The left wing won't accept anyone to the right of Bernie Sanders.

[NewYorkExpress]

More on Delaney goes to Iowa

The Long-Shot Presidential Candidate Gaining Ground in Iowa

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/06/05/2020-democrats-presidential-campaign-john-delaney-218592

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If Delaney actually wins the Iowa Caucuses, I'll make my signature a picture of him for a month (or until he drops out, whichever comes first).

[NewYorkExpress]

bruh any indications on Lindsey Graham?

Graham is one of the few sitting US Senators to have already endorsed Trump's reelection:

link

If he ran and lost in the early primary's, he'd face a really strong primary challenge. Hell, he might face one anyway for daring to oppose our orange Fuhrer.

[NewYorkExpress]

Garcetti was just on the Daily Show, got the 2020 question, said "anyone above the age of 35 should be considering running". So yeah, I'd bet my left leg that Garcetti runs.

The fact you aren't betting something more vital, like brain matter, leads me to believe you aren't sure Garcetti will run.

[NewYorkExpress]

Here's this week's #2020Insight column:

https://www.cnn.com/2018/06/16/politics/2020-insight-kirsten-gillibrand-tax/index.html

One thing of note that hasn't already been mentioned here: Gillibrand now supports a financial transaction tax, yet another example of her getting in sync with Sanders on policy issues.

Booker says he'll consider it after the midterms, but also wants to have a family.

That is interesting.  He'd previously just tried to deflect the question, so admitting that he's thinking about it is a step towards honesty.  Though he also says he wants to get reelected in 2020, so not sure how he's going to handle running for both offices at once, should it come to that:

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And on the family front:

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Senator Booker can solve the dating thing by getting married.

[NewYorkExpress]

Comey for President:

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2018/06/crooked-comeys-latest-tweet-has-people-saying-hes-running-in-2020/

You do realize you're posting an article from a rabidly pro-Trump site that dismisses Russia-gate as "fake news"?

Comey's not running...at least not for President. (I could see him being the running mate for a Kasich campaign).

[NewYorkExpress]

Michael Bloomberg is putting up $80 million to help the Dems take the House this year, and apparently some in his inner circle say it may be a way to test the waters for a presidential run....presumably as a Democrat:

https://www.cnn.com/2018/06/24/politics/ip-michael-bloomberg-2020/index.html

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WTF is Bloomberg thinking? If he wants to run for President, he should go Indy...and he should've run in either 2008 or 2012.

[NewYorkExpress]

Flake met with the heads of CNN and MSNBC this week, potentially indicating that he's in the market to sign on for a gig as a cable TV pundit:

http://ktar.com/story/2124077/flake-meets-with-heads-of-msnbc-cnn-sparking-rumors-of-pundit-gig/

Presumably this downgrades the chances of him running for president at least a little, since it doesn't make much sense for him to sign a contract with one of the cable networks when he leaves office in January only to break the contract a couple of months later in order to run for prez.

CNN would hire him. Not sure about MSNBC... If they were to hire another former GOP officeholder, it would probably be a Joe Scarborough clone (Maybe Jon Huntsman?)

[NewYorkExpress]

The Andrew Cuomo gubernatorial campaign illegally acquired the personal information of students who registered for New York's Excelsior scholarship program, in another chapter of Cuomo's long history with corruption.

I read the NY post article, it doesnt seem like something to get worked up about.

https://nypost.com/2018/07/17/cuomo-campaign-got-names-of-scholarship-students-despite-privacy-laws/

This is coming from someone who doesnt really like Cuomo.

I'm sorry but it is something to get worked up about, and if he were an honorable man (which he isn't) he'd drop out of this year's Governor's race.

[NewYorkExpress]

Maryland Republican Gov. Hogan doesn't rule out 2020 presidential run

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https://www.politico.com/story/2018/08/03/2020-larry-hogan-presidential-run-760830

Now that was unexpected.

Does anybody run for President immediately after losing reelection?

[NewYorkExpress]

Maryland Republican Gov. Hogan doesn't rule out 2020 presidential run

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https://www.politico.com/story/2018/08/03/2020-larry-hogan-presidential-run-760830

Now that was unexpected.

Does anybody run for President immediately after losing reelection?

a. Santorum kind of counts (though there were five years in between his loss and and his presidential campaign announcement), but you can see how well that worked out anyway.

b. As far as I know, Hogan didn't say this would be only after losing re-election.

c. Hogan probably won't lose. In fact, winning might make his chances of running at some time higher. As a Republican in Maryland, he can only go down in state offices.

Santorum specifically doesn't count because he didn't run in 2008, which would have been two years after his loss.

Hogan isn't an underdog, but the climate certainly could drag him to defeat this year, as Maryland doesn't especially like Trump, Jealous should be popular with minority groups in Baltimore, and he's also got a strong running mate in Susan Turnbull.

[NewYorkExpress]

Maggie Hassan is going to Iowa

https://twitter.com/jamespindell/status/1026486777924739072?s=21

If Maggie Hassan runs, can we cancel the New Hampshire primary?

[NewYorkExpress]

McAuliffe basically says he supports impeachment. Sounds like something a candidate would say: https://www.politico.com/story/2018/08/12/mcauliffe-impeachment-trump-putin-774271

Of the likely Dem field, I think only Steyer is also backing impeachment at this point.

[NewYorkExpress]

Sanders just had the distinction of being the only Democrat to vote no on the Defense-Labor-HHS appropriations Minibus.

Sanders isn't a Democrat. He caucuses with the Democrats. There is a difference.

[NewYorkExpress]

If Bullock runs, he’ll probably drop out after SC and then run for Senate. Republicans should hope that the presidential run damages him enough to move what would be a Tilt/Lean D race on paper to Tossup or maybe Tilt R.

i don't think Bullock is going to run in the first place.

He's going to do a Senate bid and a Senate bid only...and that's a tossup at best, given the margin Trump probably will win Montana by.

[NewYorkExpress]

Bullock moved past the point of no return when he changed his position on gun control he can't just jump back into MT-SEN after having moved left on a dozen different issues.

Sure he can.

Jon Tester is more progressive than your average Montana Democrat...so if Bullock's positions are anywhere near Tester's, he can win a Montana Senate race...at least against Daines.

I won't speak to reelection in 2026.

[NewYorkExpress]

"It seems like Iowa in 2007"

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2018/08/could-beto-orourke-be-the-next-obama

If Beto loses, could he give it a shot?

He shouldn't bother one way or the other. If he loses he will lose all relevancy, and if he wins he should focus on holding his seat as long as possible. A Democratic Senate seat out of Texas these days needs to be cherished.

If Beto wins, and the Democrat loses in 2020, Beto should run in 2024 rather than run for reelection.

[NewYorkExpress]

Kerry won't rule out running.

If Kerry wanted to run a second time, he should have run in 2008.