Austrian Election Prediction Contest 2017

[palandio]

30.0% ÖVP
27.7% FPÖ
23.5% SPÖ
  5.8% NEOS
  6.2% Pilz
  4.5% Greens
  1.3% FLÖ
  1.0% KPÖ+
  0.5% G!LT
  0.2% Whites
  0.3% Others

2.) Guess the name of the 7th-biggest party and its percentage.

  1.3% FLÖ

3.) Predict voter turnout, rounded to one decimal point.

77.5%

4.) Name the leading party in each state.

SPÖ: Burgenland
ÖVP: Lower Austria, Upper Austria, Salzburg, Tyrol, Vorarlberg
FPÖ: Styria, Carinthia, Vienna

5.) Name the best and worst state for each of the six big parties.

SPÖ: Burgenland, Voralberg
ÖVP: Tyrol, Vienna
FPÖ: Styria, Burgenland
Greens: Vorarlberg, Burgenland
NEOS: Vienna, Burgenland
Pilz: Vienna, Burgenland

6.) Will the Greens drop below the 4% threshold ?

No

7.) Will the FPÖ drop below 20% ?

No

8.) Will PILZ make it into parliament ?

Yes

9.) Predict the next coalition.

FPÖ+SPÖ

10.) Predict what Kern/Kurz/Strache will do after the election.

Kern: will resign and do something else, like becoming manager of a company again
Kurz: will remain leader of the ÖVP
Strache: will become chancellor, even though Van der Bellen has concerns