Who will be the next CDU chairman?

[palandio]

[...]
The CDU has become a women's party thanks to the AfD. And if you substract the CSU out, it will become even more devastating for the former men's party.
[...]

Electorally the CDU has always been a women's party, particularly until ca. 1970, but also later. It's a fact that continues to surprise present-day people, who would rather uninformedly assume the contrary just out of gut feeling. If you don't believe me just look up the Repräsentative Wahlstatistik time series including all federal elections since 1953 (except 1990 and 1994). If anything you could maybe say that Merkel has temporarily halted the trend common in most Western countries, i.e. conservative parties turning into men's parties.

[palandio]

Do you understand what some of us consider the problem? A list of all the latest polls is only meaningful to a certain degree when they're polling CDU voters and not delegates. Comprende?

Comprendí. ¡No te exaltes! I just proceed on the assumption that a) the delegation shares similar views as the CDU support base and b) that the delegates are strongly oriented towards the opinion of their voters.

Ok, as long as there is no other information, it makes more sense to proceed on your assumptions than to assume the contrary. I think that someone tried to poll real delegates and that among these delegates AKK was weaker and Spahn stronger than among the whole CDU electorate, with Merz ahead of AKK and Spahn still behind. But you could rightfully doubt the representativity of the sample. So, altogether we don't know very much yet.