Rob Bloom
Mirendorff
Rookie
Posts: 65
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« on: July 01, 2017, 08:37:45 AM » |
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« edited: July 01, 2017, 09:47:20 AM by Rob Bloom »
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Here is a hypothetic and yet intriguing question: Suppose the UK has a similiar system as France - only candidates with an overall majority would secure their seat in the first ballot, while for every other race there would be a run-off with the two leading candidates. How would the votes of the other candidates have split?
How would LibDem, UKIP and Green voters have voted in a Tory/Labour run-off?
My presumption (completely out of the blue) is as follows: LibDems would have voted 40% Tory/45% Labour/15% abstain; UKIPpers would have voted 55% Tories/20% Labour/25 % abstain; Greens would have voted 10% Tories/80% Labour/10% abstain.
Also, how would Labour voters have split in a Con/LD run-off? My guess is 65% LD/20% Con/15% abstain
And what about Tory voters in a Lab/LD race? I'd say 55% LD/35% Lab/10% abstain. The LD number would of course be higher if it weren't for Brexit.
Of course I'm just an observer from outside - does anybody with more insight in English politics think this could be accurate?
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