the mystery of the cuban vote (user search)
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  the mystery of the cuban vote (search mode)
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Author Topic: the mystery of the cuban vote  (Read 1862 times)
CountryClassSF
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Posts: 1,530


« on: January 27, 2013, 03:30:45 PM »

There were lots of interesting tidbits about the election that need to be talked about to analyze what went wrong for Romney in the Cuban vote.

The problem is, the Romney team has been so tight-lipped about why exactly they felt "their data" was correct while nearly a year's worth of public polling contradicted their turnout model.

Why the campaign never atleast raised an eyebrow over the consistency of the public polling vs. their private data, we'll never know.

That being said --- part of something I noticed is that Romney's campaign stuck with the same individual message---"Economy, economy, economy" and did not tailor the message to specific demographics.  So, unlike the Obama people, there was really no attempt to reach out to the conservative base (which includes many Cuban American voters).

Objectively, Romney should have wiped the floor with his opponents in the primary due to an almost 5-1 financial advantage. The major reason why he did not was that he was not well liked among his base.  The assumption they made was that "the base" will just come out anyway because of dislike of Obama, but as we saw with Kerry v Bush most recently, that strategy just doesn't work anymore in the 21st century.


Romney lost ground among Cubans because they made a stupid assumption that the vote would just come naturally.  You have to turnout your base, or you just can't win. Same goes for the millions of white conservative Americans that stayed home.
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