The SC Election Day & Results Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: The SC Election Day & Results Thread  (Read 48509 times)
Sam Spade
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« on: January 21, 2012, 02:11:23 PM »
Yesterday and today's actions by Romney's people suggest very strongly that he will lose South Carolina.  We shall see, of course.

At any rate, any Romney win will be viewed as extraordinary by the media, as will any Gingrich win of more than 10 points and over 40%.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2012, 05:20:12 PM »
http://www.boston.com/Boston/politicalintelligence/2012/01/voters-head-polls-south-carolina-mitt-romney-belittles-gingrich/LsMymEJzbkLnoPmjfHYsBJ/index.html

This article is a veritable comedy goldmine.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2012, 06:09:30 PM »
If the exit polls are accurate, Gingrich will win, as his support has always been stronger among men.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #3 on: January 21, 2012, 06:54:18 PM »
Think they're gonna declare a winner at 7:00 PM, at least CNN suggests this, as King pointed out.  Which means a large win.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #4 on: January 21, 2012, 07:06:40 PM »
CNN is generally leery of calling things until results actually appear, as a rule.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #5 on: January 21, 2012, 07:26:23 PM »
Almost everything right now is absentees.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #6 on: January 21, 2012, 07:29:57 PM »
AP called it for Gingrich too.  Only CNN holding out.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #7 on: January 21, 2012, 07:33:25 PM »
CNN projects Gingrich winner.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #8 on: January 21, 2012, 07:43:59 PM »
Just a reminder - nothing from Greenville and Spartanburg yet.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #9 on: January 21, 2012, 07:53:55 PM »
Just FYI - CNN exit poll adjusted for a 40-28-18-14 finish.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #10 on: January 21, 2012, 08:04:38 PM »
15% in Newt 40%, Mitt 28%, Rick 17%, Paul 13%
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #11 on: January 21, 2012, 08:12:28 PM »
Newt is simply destroying Romney in rural SC.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #12 on: January 21, 2012, 08:19:27 PM »
With 23%, Romney is barely leading in Charleston County.  Which suggests...
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #13 on: January 21, 2012, 08:32:16 PM »
Why are the ballot counters in Horry County so incompetent?
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #14 on: January 21, 2012, 08:43:21 PM »
Newt up 47-29 with 19% in Horry County
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #15 on: January 21, 2012, 09:07:53 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 21, 2012, 09:04:44 PM
2012:

550.000 turnout (71% Republicans acc. to Exit Poll) -> ca. 390.000 Republicans turned out

2008:

450.000 turnout (80% Republicans acc. to Exit Poll) -> ca. 360.000 Republicans turned out

White Independents in SC are not particularly Democratic-friendly, something we tend to forget.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #16 on: January 21, 2012, 09:17:43 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 21, 2012, 09:12:28 PM
Quote from: Sam Spade on January 21, 2012, 09:07:53 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on January 21, 2012, 09:04:44 PM
2012:

550.000 turnout (71% Republicans acc. to Exit Poll) -> ca. 390.000 Republicans turned out

2008:

450.000 turnout (80% Republicans acc. to Exit Poll) -> ca. 360.000 Republicans turned out

White Independents in SC are not particularly Democratic-friendly, something we tend to forget.

How do we know these Indies are white ? Could be Dem-leaning Independents this time who vote in the GOP primary to elect the Newt.

Are they black (lol)?  Not many Hispanics in SC.  Go look up white people who identified as Independents in 2008 and the exit polls.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #17 on: January 21, 2012, 09:39:59 PM »
Quote from: Florida Paleocons for Paul on January 21, 2012, 09:35:31 PM
Newts offering compliments to his rivals. Santorum on Iran, Paul on the FED, and I forgot what he said about Mittens.

He said he's a hard worker...  ha
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #18 on: January 21, 2012, 10:32:28 PM »
When you think about the candidates, this map is so predictable.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #19 on: January 21, 2012, 11:20:02 PM »
Quote from: Comrade Sibboleth on January 21, 2012, 10:59:01 PM
Quote from: Sam Spade on January 21, 2012, 10:32:28 PM
When you think about the candidates, this map is so predictable.

Hilarious, surely?

I actually want your opinion, because there's both a class and an urban and rural dynamic going on here, but my real thought is - shouldn't we just concede the South that is not VA and FL, and Appalachia to Gingrich now.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #20 on: January 22, 2012, 02:04:06 PM »
As expected, Romney was consistently 3rd and 4th in pretty much every historical SC mill town that I remember.
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