2018 Gubernatorial Rankings

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Not including rankings for VT and NH yet because the new governors haven't even taken office yet.

AK is counted as D for convenience sake.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Safe R: AL, AR, ID, MA, NE, TX, WY
Likely R: KY (19), MD, NH, SC, SD, TN, VT
Lean R: AK, AZ, OK
Tossup: GA, IA, KS, ME, MS (19), OH, WI
Lean D: CT, FL, NV, RI
Likely D: CO, IL, LA (19), MI, MN, PA, OR, NM
Safe D: CA, HI, NY

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Safe R: AL, AR, ID, MA, NE, TX, WY
Likely R: KY (19), MD, NH, SC, SD, TN, VT
Lean R: AK, AZ, OK
Tossup: GA, IA, KS, ME, MS (19), OH, WI
Lean D: CT, FL, NV, RI
Likely D: CO, IL, LA (19), MI, MN, PA, OR, NM
Safe D: CA, HI, NY

How do you have Wisconsin as a tossup but Florida as 'Lean D' when Evers' RCP average in WI is actually higher than Gillum's? Florida is definitety a lean D race, but so is Wisconsin.

Good catch. Walker is an incumbent so I'm more hesitant to put him at a disadvantage, but upon further consideration I've decided to shift it to Lean D.

Other changes:
AK Lean R --> Likely R
AZ Lean R --> Likely R
PA Likely D --> Safe D

Safe R: AL, AR, ID, MA, NE, TX, WY
Likely R: AK, AZ, KY (19), MD, NH, SC, SD, TN, VT
Lean R: OK
Tossup: GA, IA, KS, ME, MS (19), OH,
Lean D: CT, FL, NV, RI, WI
Likely D: CO, IL, LA (19), MI, MN, OR, NM
Safe D: CA, HI, NY, PA,