Romney +22 in Rural Swing State Counties (user search)
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  Romney +22 in Rural Swing State Counties (search mode)
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Author Topic: Romney +22 in Rural Swing State Counties  (Read 886 times)
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,892
United States


« on: October 16, 2012, 03:46:50 PM »

Really interesting.
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2012, 04:57:34 PM »

Obama doesn't need Rural counties to win.

Obama can't lose them by too much or he'll lose the states they're in -- that's a fact. Keep in mind the trendlines -- he's doing 10 points worse than in 2008.

Nevada has a very small proportion of rural citizens. Colorado? The Front Range cities and their suburbs overpower the thinly-settled population of ranch country in the east. New Hampshire has its population concentrated along the I-93 corridor. Most people in Florida do not live on a ranch, farm, or orange grove.  Ohio has the preponderance of its population in small-to-giant urban areas.

 

PA has a number of them.
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2012, 07:19:44 PM »

Perhaps we should release a poll of just Denver CO , Clark NV, Cuyahoga OH, and Fairfax VA.

Maybe they are 12 points lower than 2008 too.
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2012, 07:27:40 PM »

Perhaps we should release a poll of just Denver CO , Clark NV, Cuyahoga OH, and Fairfax VA.

Maybe they are 12 points lower than 2008 too.

Unlikely, Obama's seen no drop-off in black support and seems to be doing better with Hispanics.

Well, there are white people in the cities and Hispanics are not showing an increase.
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