IA, PPP: Romney in the lead (user search)
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  IA, PPP: Romney in the lead (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA, PPP: Romney in the lead  (Read 2288 times)
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,892
United States


« on: October 19, 2012, 01:11:24 PM »

A Romney lead is consistent with the absentee ballots.  Also, Obama overpolled there in 2008.
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J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2012, 02:41:42 PM »


On a poll that leans D, in a state where Obama overpolled slightly in 2008. 

A Romney lead is consistent with the absentee ballots.  Also, Obama overpolled there in 2008.

Bradley Effect?

Possibly.  This the opposite of NV in some ways, where Obama underpolled. 

The absentees are also running more strongly R than 2008, and they keep strengthening, so far.
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