PA 13

[J. J.]

Remind me to apply for Section 8 Housing and move into Northeast Philadelphia.  :-)

[J. J.]

Sorry I trolled this, but I couldn't resist.  I know very few people in my neighborhood who want a crack addict or armed robber to move in next door.

[J. J.]

Some of Swartz's Senate positions are getting her in trouble.  I talked to a vote from the district today, Montco.

[J. J.]

There is only one question that will tell who wins PA-13; when will it start to rain there?

BTW:  I've been watching from the sidelines.  It has an outstanding debate.

[J. J.]

Wasn't there a fraud case that Katz lost, just after the election?

[J. J.]

I'm going to point this out, again.  PA-13 is one of those key districts that could elect a Republican and has had 3 4 different representatives in the last 14 years.  In 1996, it was the closest or second closest district in the nation.

The thread can be a bit of a microcosm for the US House.  This thread gives a great deal of insight into this district.  Keep it by all means.

[J. J.]

The PA-13 thread, aka, The Return of the Living Dead! 

[J. J.]

<Shock>

I really wanted to revitalize this classic thread.

Will Obama carry it?  I think that is the billion dollar question.

[J. J.]

The four year anniversary of this classic thread. Amazing.

<Shock>

I really wanted to revitalize this classic thread.

Will Obama carry it?  I think that is the billion dollar question.

Yep but it will be close.

As for the Congressional race itself, this will be the second time that I won't be voting for the GOP nominee. I'm writing in a local State Representative again (but a different guy this time).

If its that close, Obama wont carry the state.  He needs to win this district by a good 10-12 points if he wants to offset the Republican trend in the Western part of the state. 

I'm gonna say Obama by about 9-11 with some gains in Montco offset by older whites in NE Philly who will vote for McCain.

IIRC, he didn't in the primary.

[J. J.]

If I think what happens actually happens, PA-13 might be around for another 10 years, and 200-300 pages. 

[J. J.]

I  think republicans who think they'll win this district are a tad off. Yes, its historically GOP but didnt Obama win 60% here?

No one is arguing that it will be won now. That isn't to say that it is a solid Democratic seat. Schwartz could have had a much closer race last year if we nominated someone else but she's still very difficult to beat. The demographics, party registration edge and her personal organization provide a nice firewall for her.

This infamous debate is primarily from 2004 when it was supposed to be a closely contested race (like it was in 2002). Plus, I'm hearing rumors that our beloved 13th could look very different after redistricting, with a significant part of the Northeast (sadly, my area) being thrown into a solid Democratic seat. I still think it's a stretch but it's the idea being tossed around now.

And just as a note: this PA 13 isn't historically Republican. That was the old 13th which didn't include Northeast Philadelphia. It was a Montco district and Montco was very different politically just over a decade ago.

I heard they're looking to pack Lower Merion back into the 13th and some Dem areas.  It'll be a 60-40 seat when all is said and done.

Lower Merion is becoming quite Democratic.  Their Commissioners are majority D, 10 to 4.  It wasn't when Fox held the seat.

[J. J.]

A 67 page thread on a house race? What is this?

Tradition.