Think about what McCain pulled off...

[J. J.]

I though he was dead, but I have never put too much stock in Iowa.  Except for Michigan (Romney's home state), McCain has won those states he has contested.

Romney has lost two states he contested, and Huckabee has lost one and won one; the one Huckabee lost should have been one of his stronger states. 

Since 1972, NH's neighbors have done well, generally, in that state.  Though weak, Muskie (ME) won (1972), Dukakis (1988), Kerry (2004) (both MA).  The losses were Kennedy (MA- 1980), Dean (2004-2004, VT, to Kerry), and Romney (MA-2008).  Of the losers, NONE went on to be the nominee; it does not look good for Romney.

Right now, the only thing that stands between McCain and the nomination is Florida and Rudy Giuliani.

[J. J.]

Right now, the only thing that stands between McCain and the nomination is Florida and Rudy Giuliani.

No, if Thompson drops out, McCain has to keep Fred's evangelical vote from going to Huckabee. He certainly needs to wath Romney, who has after all, won three states to McCain's two. And most importantly, McCain needs money.

McCain's in better shape than he was pre-NH, but it is certainly not as simple as knocking off the guy coming in 6th in most contests.

Money won't be an issue if McCain wins Florida.  Momentum, right there, for once, is more important than money.