Illinois and Kansas swinging to Clinton vs. Obama 2012 just feels so wrong. (user search)
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  Illinois and Kansas swinging to Clinton vs. Obama 2012 just feels so wrong. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Illinois and Kansas swinging to Clinton vs. Obama 2012 just feels so wrong.  (Read 2301 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: December 14, 2016, 05:49:21 PM »

Unlike other Midwest states, the Chicago metropolitan area encompasses most of the state's population. It is not even comparable to most other states. Milwaukee, Detroit, Indianapolis, etc. and their metropolitan only cover about 25% of the states population at best.

The trends were the same. Rural, downstate and mid-sized cities overwhelmingly swung Trump, the city stayed largely the same, the upscale suburbs swung towards Clinton. Same formula with different makeup.

Kansas can be explained easily by two things:

(1) A large portion of the state lives in a county with high education rates and incomes - Johnson which unsurprisingly swung towards Clinton, but by a surprisingly high margin. Most of the rest of the state is either the Wichita area (standard great plains city, little movement) or (2) rural, but these rural areas (especially western Kansas) was already so Republican that there wasn't as much movement. The areas that swung the most to Trump were the ones closest to Missouri, the ones that weren't already 80% Republican.
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