British pollsters

[Silent Hunter]

Which British polls do you take seriously?

I'm an ICM man myself. They get pretty (as in 1%) close.

Here's a poll I have some reservations on:

Independent on Sunday/ Communication Research 24 Nov 04 - 25 Nov 04
1033 sampled
Con 31
Lab 42 (!)
Lib Dem 20

That's very similar to the 2001 result.


Vorlon, any opinions on UK polls?

[Silent Hunter]

There are two main ways of polling here:
1. Weight by age, religion, region etc.
2. Ask how they voted last time. If 85% of Labour voters say they'll vote Labour next time, give Labour 85% of their 2001 figure.

[Silent Hunter]

It's got to be held by 7 June 2006.