Dick Morris's election map

[Nym90]

Colorado is strongly McCain, Iowa leaning McCain, Washington a tossup and Delaware and Hawaii only leaning Obama.

Not even JSojourner on his worst day would dream up this map.

Worth noting that even this map doesn't put Pennsylvania any better for McCain than a tossup.

[Nym90]

What's really bad about this map is not how inaccurate it is, but it's that he flat out lies. He claims right in the lower corner that it's based on current polls. I'd be interested to see these Arkansas polls he has that show Obama ahead. Just like I'd be curious to see what Colorado polls he was looking at before that had it as solid McCain or what Iowa polls he saw showing McCain ahead sufficiently to rate it lean McCain.

[Nym90]

The only thing I can think of to explain his reasoning is that he's making an election night prediction based on some sort of trend line.

Says right in the corner of the map "Based on poll analysis as of October 6", as it says in the lower left corner of the map.

Not sure what polls show Obama up in Kentucky. I don't think he's even ahead in New America.

[Nym90]

The only thing I can think of to explain his reasoning is that he's making an election night prediction based on some sort of trend line.

Says right in the corner of the map "Based on poll analysis as of October 6", as it says in the lower left corner of the map.

Not sure what polls show Obama up in Kentucky. I don't think he's even ahead in New America.

analysis = continuing the current trend on to election day? has to be.

Obama is 3 points further behind in the last Arkansas poll than he was in the one before, so no, that's not it, either.

Not sure how a state can be safe for someone who has trailed by at least 9 points in every poll taken there the entire year, but hey, what do I know.