MN: Star Tribune poll shows that Minnesota voters oppose Gay Marriage ban

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

As much as I'd love to believe this, Star-Tribune is notorious for polls that are very promising for Dems--or, to be more specific (IIRC), to understate conservative/Republican numbers.

Am I wrong?

That's true yes. But rarely by numbers wider than the margin here.

Last 2010 poll: Dayton +7
Last 2008 Senate poll: Franken +4
Last 2008 Presidential poll: Obama +11 (actually that one was pretty accurate)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

So the map would probably look something like this: