Brightest spots for Democrats (user search)
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Brightest spots for Democrats (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which of these states was the most pleasant surprise for the Democrats?
#1
Colo.--Kerry did better than Gore, Salazar brothers pickup House and Senate seat, Democrats take control of State House and State Senate
 
#2
Mont.--Schweitzer wins Governorship, Kerry did better than Gore, Democrats take over State Senate
 
#3
Ill.--Bean upsets Crane, Kerry easily wins, Obama landslide
 
#4
Ohio--of the 10 largest states, Ohio was the only one to swing to Kerry
 
#5
Vt.--largest swing to Kerry, Leahy and Sanders easily re-elected, Democrats pickup State House
 
#6
N.H.--Lynch upsets Benson, Kerry did better than Gore
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 51

Author Topic: Brightest spots for Democrats  (Read 4106 times)
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


« on: December 04, 2004, 11:50:29 PM »

Montana is great news, but it doesn't mean anything nationally as I doubt Montana turns into a swing state in 2008.

Colorado is a different story, I think this will be a Dem leaning swing state by 2008.

I doubt it. More like a Republican-leaning swing state.
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Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 05, 2004, 07:06:45 PM »

Montana is great news, but it doesn't mean anything nationally as I doubt Montana turns into a swing state in 2008.

Colorado is a different story, I think this will be a Dem leaning swing state by 2008.

I doubt it. More like a Republican-leaning swing state.

Colo. was only 2 points from the national average, so it should definitely be targeted in 2008.

On the other hand, perhaps Kerry got a bounce from having been born there.

I do not think so. I simply think it was a gradual drift. States do not move with the national average. So, I believe that even in an event election, Colorado would be about where it was today, but a bit (maybe 1-2% more) pro-Kerry at most.
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