PA PrimD: Muhlenberg College: Clinton and Obama about tied

[Alcon]

This shouldn't be added.

But how is an even showing for Obama in Bethehem-Allentown and surrounding areas?  Not too bad, I'd think, despite their universities?

[Alcon]

It would be good, but this particular uni polling mob are especially bad.

Indeed, and the MoE is huge.

Plus, I still don't trust county polls for crap.  Remember that poll from Union County, New Jersey (I think), that showed Bush +1 shortly before the 2004 election? 

[Alcon]

Remember that poll from Union County, New Jersey (I think), that showed Bush +1 shortly before the 2004 election? 

No, but hearing about it doesn't surprise me; the record of constituency polls in Britain, Canada and Australia is about as bad.

According to the database, Bush led only one time in New Jersey, and that was by SurveyUSA in September.

The poll was only of Union County, New Jersey, which you would have known if you had actually taken thirty seconds to read the thread.