PPP-IA: Walker +10 (user search)
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  PPP-IA: Walker +10 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP-IA: Walker +10  (Read 1993 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: April 28, 2015, 03:15:33 PM »

Wow, so the Sanders surge is kinda real after all?

Well, PPP thankfully finally dropped Warren. Her support seems to split between Hillary and Sanders.

So this and Loras both show Walker ahead still, looks like Gravis was junk. Big surprise.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2015, 09:08:57 PM »


Looks like Chafee playing the "attack dog" role isn't helping him very much. Could it be that being a useful idiot for the media and allowing them to goad you into attacking Hillary over faux scandals and using Republican talking points has backfired? Say it ain't so! Good job on being unpopular already though, even with 25% name recognition. LOL
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: April 30, 2015, 12:13:19 AM »


Looks like Chafee playing the "attack dog" role isn't helping him very much. Could it be that being a useful idiot for the media and allowing them to goad you into attacking Hillary over faux scandals and using Republican talking points has backfired? Say it ain't so! Good job on being unpopular already though, even with 25% name recognition. LOL

That's not why he has net negatives. He has net negatives because hardly anybody outside of Atlas Forum has even heard of him, and those who have know him as that milquetoast Yankee weirdo that keeps jumping parties.

Nobody knows Webb or O'Malley either, and they're not in the negatives. That favorability was just among Democrats.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #3 on: April 30, 2015, 12:51:33 PM »


Looks like Chafee playing the "attack dog" role isn't helping him very much. Could it be that being a useful idiot for the media and allowing them to goad you into attacking Hillary over faux scandals and using Republican talking points has backfired? Say it ain't so! Good job on being unpopular already though, even with 25% name recognition. LOL

That's not why he has net negatives. He has net negatives because hardly anybody outside of Atlas Forum has even heard of him, and those who have know him as that milquetoast Yankee weirdo that keeps jumping parties.

Nobody knows Webb or O'Malley either, and they're not in the negatives. That favorability was just among Democrats.

At this point in the race, with well over 60% not having a solid opinion of any of those three, the approvals mean very little.

Again, it would be one thing if all the anonymous people were in the negatives (sometimes that does happen), but it's only Chafee.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2015, 12:48:03 AM »
« Edited: May 01, 2015, 12:51:57 AM by IceSpear »

By the way, here's proof of my assertion in the crosstabs. Favorability scores among Hillary supporters:

Clinton: 96-2
O'Malley: 19-13
Sanders: 34-20
Webb: 15-16
Chafee: 5-21

Another interesting fact is that supporters of all candidates like Hillary besides Webb supporters, who hate her. LOL. Webb supporters for some reason also dislike O'Malley, and Sanders supporters dislike Chafee.

And the second choices of each candidate's supporters:

Clinton: Sanders
O'Malley: Clinton
Sanders: Clinton
Webb: Sanders (literally 0% pick Clinton)
Chafee: Clinton

(Yes, I realize the MoEs on these subsamples with the exception of Hillary supporters are ludicrously high, but it's entertaining regardless)
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #5 on: May 06, 2015, 01:46:00 AM »

I'm convinced PPP does not randomize the order. They had Walker winning NH and all the Bs and Cs struggling.

Through the power of the Google, I dug up this comment from PPP head honcho Tom Jensen back in 2008:

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com.au/2008/07/ivr-polling.html

Quote
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Stuff like this is why I nominated you for best poster. Wink
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