TX-SurveyUSA: Trump vs. Dems close, but Cruz/Rubio easily beat them (user search)
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  TX-SurveyUSA: Trump vs. Dems close, but Cruz/Rubio easily beat them (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX-SurveyUSA: Trump vs. Dems close, but Cruz/Rubio easily beat them  (Read 3812 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« on: February 27, 2016, 01:42:08 AM »

So according to the early general election polls, Hillary is doing better in Texas and Utah than Minnesota and Michigan. Sounds legit.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2016, 01:45:47 AM »

So according to the early general election polls, Hillary is doing better in Texas and Utah than Minnesota and Michigan.

UT ?

The last polls I saw had the Republicans up by a lot there.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=226330.0
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

« Reply #2 on: February 27, 2016, 02:30:27 AM »

There's some interesting stuff in the crosstabs. Even though the topline numbers are basically equal for Hillary and Sanders, the differences mirror the actual primary. Bernie does better among whites, but worse among blacks and Hispanics. He does better among youngs, but worse among seniors. Better among males and worse among females. Better among independents, but worse among Democrats and, interestingly, Republicans.

Also, Trump wins '12 Ron Paul voters 77-8 against Hillary but only 64-23 against Bernie. So much for the talking point that there wasn't overlap there...
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