NC-PPP: Trump +2

[IceSpear]

+2 for Clinton from last month (both for Head to Head, and all four). Interestingly, they also asked about an Obama Trump hypothetical which ended up in a 49-48 Obama split.

B-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-but I thought Obama or Biden or literally any Democrat would be crushing Trump by 20+ points right now! It's only remotely competitive because Hillary is teh worst candidate EVAR1!11111!1!!111111

- Atlas #analysis

[IceSpear]

+2 for Clinton from last month (both for Head to Head, and all four). Interestingly, they also asked about an Obama Trump hypothetical which ended up in a 49-48 Obama split.

B-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-but I thought Obama or Biden or literally any Democrat would be crushing Trump by 20+ points right now! It's only remotely competitive because Hillary is teh worst candidate EVAR1!11111!1!!111111

- Atlas #analysis

I like most of your posts, but sometimes I wonder if you and TNVolunteer have enough strawmen to open a hay factory.

It's not a strawman. I have seen this same thought regurgitated dozens if not hundreds of times here.

"It's only close because MUH BAD CANDIDATE HILLARY!!!!!"

Face it guys, no Democrat would be a lock against Trump. The country is very polarized and 45% will vote Republican under any circumstances.

[IceSpear]

+2 for Clinton from last month (both for Head to Head, and all four). Interestingly, they also asked about an Obama Trump hypothetical which ended up in a 49-48 Obama split.

B-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-b-but I thought Obama or Biden or literally any Democrat would be crushing Trump by 20+ points right now! It's only remotely competitive because Hillary is teh worst candidate EVAR1!11111!1!!111111

- Atlas #analysis

I like most of your posts, but sometimes I wonder if you and TNVolunteer have enough strawmen to open a hay factory.

It's not a strawman. I have seen this same thought regurgitated dozens if not hundreds of times here.

"It's only close because MUH BAD CANDIDATE HILLARY!!!!!"

Face it guys, no Democrat would be a lock against Trump. The country is very polarized and 45% will vote Republican under any circumstances.

I agree.  I'm just saying that most of the things you cite are not that common on Atlas (and especially AAD), at least from what I've seen (maybe I don't go on the 2016 board enough).  I've seen more of that type of analysis outside Atlas/AAD rather than inside it.

After 10 minutes of browsing the 2016 board, not even looking for it...

I broadly agree with this.  Hillary's unpopularity is why she's up 6ish instead of 16ish right now.  If it were Obama running with a marginally popular outgoing President Hillary, he would be absolutely destroying Trump in 35+ states right now.  Of course, I doubt that Trump would ever have been nominated with a white Dem president in office, and while any serious Dem would have won in 2008, I really doubt Hillary could have beaten Romney in the 2012 economy (if she did, it would probably be in an EV/PV split).