Disappointing, to say the least. So many mixed messages in the polling. Missouri is not a virtual tie if it's Clinton +3. North Carolina is not Clinton +2 if the race is Clinton +13 nationally.
There are literally two diametrically opposed competing narratives, and it's not simply a matter of choosing to believe the state polls only or the national polls only. Things are a mess.
Polls are almost never completely consistent and logical, particularly when there are dozens of different firms with dozens of different methodologies doing the polling. That's why it's best to just look at the averages. I mean, even in 2008 there were polls in late October showing McCain only 1 point behind. I'm sure the Seriouslys of the world back then were harping on them and insisting Obama was doomed.
