Gillespie really will win this

[IceSpear]

Yeah I agree with Virginia here. I think 2016 was about as close to a neutral year as we've had in a long time. Hillary won the popular vote, and Trump won all 3 decisive electoral college states by <1%. Trump's absolute electoral vote number may have looked decent on paper, but the reality of the margins is the election was far more similar to 2000 than any other recent one, particularly with Hillary's PV win.  Dems gained a couple Senate seats and a few House seats. The Senate map wasn't as bad for the Republicans in 2016 as 2014/2018 was/will be for Dems since they only had 1 seat in a deep blue state (IL) whereas Dems in 2014/2018 had/have a handful of seats in deep red states (WV/SD/MT/AR/LA/AK, WV/IN/MO/MT/ND). Most vulnerable territory for the Republicans in 2016 were in swing states that ended up going for Trump.

[IceSpear]

I think Gillespie probably has the same chance of winning as Doug Jones in Alabama.

I wish. That would mean he has a 0% chance.