Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

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John Culberson falls.

RIP RINO Tom and BRTD.

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Gwen Graham would have won, and pulled over Nelson. Would have changed the flavor of the whole night.

Yep. The Graham fanboys were right all along. Looks like Gillum dragged down Nelson with him.

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MJ Hegar is leading Carter!

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Has Carolyn Bourdeaux won? Wow.

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Steve King won. RIP Politician for the millionth time tonight. Hopefully he has as many lives as a cat...

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Tammy Baldwin put up some unexpectedly amazing numbers in the WOW counties...

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Collin Peterson is gone in 2020, assuming he even runs again.

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B-b-b-b-b-ut Atlas, pundits, pollsters, "experts" all told me muh Unbeatable Titan...

I will now accept my accolades. I told you guys Nevada was more likely to go D than MO/AZ/WV/MT/IN/ND/FL.

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Haha, Hurd and Curbelo going down is satisfying at least. All the pundits acted like those were Safe R seats because of #candidatequality

And Shalala would lose because #CandidateQualityMatters.

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LMAO MSNBC just said:

"If you would've told people that Republicans would be gaining Senate seats, everyone would've assumed Heller was safe!"

LMFAO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! God these "analysts" are clowns.

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"Safe R" NV-02 is closer to flipping than "toss up" NV-03 and NV-04! LMFAO @ the pundits!

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Damn, that NC gerrymander was absolutely brutal. Even McCready probably won't break through.

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Sherrod Brown won by about the same margin as he did in 2012. I really want to see the swing map.

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AZ SoS said that there are "hundreds of thousands of votes" untabulated.

We're not going to know anything about AZ until later this week.

Yeah, anyone waiting for this one tonight/today...probably not gonna happen.

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5 picks: Florida, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, Arizona and 55-45 majority. Great morning.

Losing 30+ House seats and getting creamed in the gubernatorial races is great? Be careful not to break your back moving those goalposts.

[IceSpear]

Big relief that Tester survived.

McCaskill, Donnelly, Hubbell, and Cordray losing sucks, but it's nothing we wouldn't have expected a few weeks ago. It's looking like Florida (of course) was the only truly toxic spot for Dems.

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LOL, 55 seats for the Republicans.

That is ing embarrassing for the Democrats.

Literally embarrassing.

55 is a worst case scenario. Montana is probably going D, and Arizona and Florida aren't over yet.

As I said to Zaybay.... read. Tester lost.

I’ve heard all night in all these different races “BUT LOOK WHERE THE OUTSTANDING VOTES ARE FROM!!!!” - rip the bandaid off. It’s over

You're really bad at this "predictions" thing. You should probably quit while you're behind.

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Still a crappy result, but not as disgusting as yesterday night ...

It's only "crappy" in your eyes because your prediction was delusionally optimistic and completely out of the bounds of reality. Your posts on Tennessee were insufferable. Blackburn was always going to win.

[IceSpear]

Nevada did it again, with Rosen and Sisolak winning pretty handily and outperforming Clinton and Cortez Masto.

But I'm sure that in four years we'll all be panicking about Cortez Masto polling within the margin of error.

Four years? I bet within a few months we'll get a SurveyMonkey or Reuters poll showing Trump up in Nevada, and Atlas will rate it lean R and the most likely Clinton state to flip because SURELY the polls won't overestimate Republicans in Nevada THIS TIME! The entire past decade was a fluke!

The ride never ends.

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With Tester's survival, Dem House pickups in CA, WA, UT, and AZ, Wacky Jacky's defeat of UTDH, Nevada's having a Dem trifecta (not to mention a unanimous hold on the row offices!) and a nearly unanimous congressional delegation, and the very likely possibility of a Senator Sinema, I'd HATE to be a Republican west of the Great Plains right now.

Cory Gardner is very afraid right now.

If they call it for Sinema, Gardner should announce his retirement immediately.  If Arizona of all places elects a Dem to the Senate, Gardner is more DOA than Doug Jones.

I mean, you can't sugarcoat it.  Republicans got absolutely massacred in the West last night.  Herrera-Buetler and Hunter were the GOP's only bright spots.  Possibly one of Young Kim or Mimi Walters too, but that's about it.

As a map nerd, I'm still annoyed about this one. I thought with Clark County turnout, it would go blue, thus delivering the Dems every Pacific-adjacent West Coast seat.

With how many votes are left to count in WA, I'm surprised they called it for Herrera Beutler. Especially since late ballots tend to skew D in Washington. It likely won't be enough for Long to win, but it seems at least possible. She could also very well end up surviving by only the skin of her teeth, which was my prediction.

[IceSpear]

With Tester's survival, Dem House pickups in CA, WA, UT, and AZ, Wacky Jacky's defeat of UTDH, Nevada's having a Dem trifecta (not to mention a unanimous hold on the row offices!) and a nearly unanimous congressional delegation, and the very likely possibility of a Senator Sinema, I'd HATE to be a Republican west of the Great Plains right now.

Cory Gardner is very afraid right now.

If they call it for Sinema, Gardner should announce his retirement immediately.  If Arizona of all places elects a Dem to the Senate, Gardner is more DOA than Doug Jones.

I mean, you can't sugarcoat it.  Republicans got absolutely massacred in the West last night.  Herrera-Buetler and Hunter were the GOP's only bright spots.  Possibly one of Young Kim or Mimi Walters too, but that's about it.

As a map nerd, I'm still annoyed about this one. I thought with Clark County turnout, it would go blue, thus delivering the Dems every Pacific-adjacent West Coast seat.

With how many votes are left to count in WA, I'm surprised they called it for Herrera Beutler. Especially since late ballots tend to skew D in Washington. It likely won't be enough for Long to win, but it seems at least possible. She could also very well end up surviving by only the skin of her teeth, which was my prediction.

If it means much, Politico hasn't called WA-03 yet.

Yeah, neither has NYT. I'm thinking it was a mistake for CNN to do so. It would be far from the first time they had to retract a call and the other person ended up winning.

[IceSpear]

Andy Kim officially took the lead.

Nice! 11-1!

Even Chris Smith got a far closer race than he's used to. It's amazing NJ Dems managed to do so well despite Menendez's toxicity.

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CNN has been a mess this election. Having to uncall so many calls is embarrassing.

Dems picking up NM-02 is awesome! Steve Pearce vacates his district to run statewide, gets crushed, then his district flips Dem once per decade. lol

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https://twitter.com/KING5Seattle/status/1060366315066613760

RIP Greedo
RIP Rossi fanboys

Remember when Rossi was such a Strong Candidate™ that he would beat Weak Candidate™ Shrill Schrier even in a Democratic tsunami because he carried the district a decade ago?

[IceSpear]

https://twitter.com/KING5Seattle/status/1060366315066613760

Well we've finally taken Dave Reichert's congressional district. This was the source of a very guttural and heart-wrenching wail of disappointment from a coworker of mine after election 2008. But now, the ghost of Darcy Burner's political career can finally Rest In Peace.

Ah, I remember the Darcy Burner days. Luckily her losses happened in otherwise amazing nights for Democrats, so it was hard to feel too bad about it.