Monmouth-NH: Warren 27, Biden 25, Sanders 12, Buttigieg 10

[IceSpear]

I'd say that IA/NH are must wins for Warren/Sanders, and she's getting the better of him in both right now. But there's still a long way left to go.

That said, things start to get really, really interesting if Warren takes both IA and NH. It definitely wouldn't guarantee her the nomination, especially if Biden can hold down the fort with the black vote (particularly in the South), but it gives her a very credible path. Biden will likely win SC and the other Southern states barring something wildly unexpected, but margins matter. Will he be able to win them by the ~50+ point massive landslides that Hillary did? If so, he'll probably still take the nomination after much angst. If not, he'd be in serious danger of losing.

And LOL at Gabbard making the debate anyway after all the breathless commentary and spilled ink regarding "riggage." If she wasn't polling so abysmally she wouldn't have been teetering on the edge of qualification to the point that interpretation of a single poll would make any difference regardless.

[IceSpear]

I would love to see a Tulsi vs Kamala KO round 2!