British Local Elections, May 2024

[Cassius]

The real question is not who will win all of these mayoral contests (Labour), but rather whether the turnout in any of them will manage to crawl across the 40% line this time round. Although the target would actually be 35% for several of them and 30(!)% in the case of the ‘Liverpool City Region’ (aka Merseyside) mayoralty.

[Cassius]

Obviously plenty of salt needed...

https://twitter.com/theousherwood/status/1786147033314717907

I seem to recall the exact same being said of Shaun Bailey’s chances in 2021, only for him to be beaten comfortably (although, in fairness, it wasn’t the utter curbstomping that was predicted by the polls either and I assume that will again be the case).

[Cassius]

'MIDTERM'?!

How long is Rishi Sunak planning on dragging out this cursed Parliament for?
https://twitter.com/Haggis_UK/status/1786285989679235582

Well, the Long Parliament ran for twenty years, so maybe by 2039 the polls will finally have turned (it also didn’t sit for large portions of that period and had half of its members purged so definitely also gives a precedent for keeping Tory MPs out of trouble and off the headlines).

[Cassius]

https://twitter.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1786723197636796570

On a truly paltry turnout of 24%.

[Cassius]

Kudos to tories, London and West Midlands combined have got to be the worst election night messaging in political history. The epitome of wanting a quick sugar high from some positive buzz on twitter that immediately leaves you hungover.

Yes, the Guardian have been laying it on thick this morning, which I presume would not have been the case without this ridiculous Tory spinning:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/may/04/stunning-labour-triumphs-in-london-and-west-midlands-leave-sunak-reeling