South Africa General Discussion (user search)
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Author Topic: South Africa General Discussion  (Read 7177 times)
Kosmos
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« on: January 16, 2015, 03:52:43 PM »

The digg at Chester is kinda bizzare to be sure, But I am glad she spoke out against white racists. Judging by some social media comments, there are many white conservatives who are easily irritated by what they percieved as being singled out, so there is a political risk there.

Interesting comparison between SWAPO and ANC and what ANC can learn from the huge SWAPO victory.

Interesting analysis. However, if one counts the local elections as well, the ANC has lost ground in 3 elections in a row now. Not just 1. Every indication is that this will continue in 2016.

In the long run, things are more uncertain. The article does make a convincing case that the opposition can only hurt ANC as long as it is percieved as corrupt and inept. In particular, they have invested too much in an anti-Zuma stance. Replacing Zuma with somebody more respectable could perhaps lead to a surge in support for ANC.


In addition to what Hashemite wrote, it's interesting to compare 2009 and 2014. Five years ago, ANC made massive inroads into the IFP's voter base. This was also the election where the "Zuma factor" was still fresh and before he became as publically tainted as he is today.

In last year's elections, by contrast, ANC's gains in KZN were actually very modest, going only from 62% to 64%. The IFP still faired terribly, but this time around it was the NFP doing the major damage.

How the IFP and NFP will develop going forward is less clear. IFP did take a ward from the NFP recently in its stronghold of Ulundi. I think Buthelezi is hoping that many NFP voters will return home now that NFP is portrayed as an "ANC puppet party".
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Kosmos
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Posts: 47
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« Reply #1 on: July 13, 2016, 11:26:24 PM »

Municipal elections coming up on august 3. Should we write here or start a new thread?
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