Trump approval ratings thread 1.1

[Matty]

The AP poll appears to be an outlier.

No other poll even comes close to the cross tabs

33% of republicans do not disapprove of trump

That is about a 5 standard deviation difference than other recent polls

Look at marty, all grown up after taking STAT 100.

Come on, Ebsy. How can you not think it's an outlier?

You seriously think in our polarized climate that 33% of republicans disapprove of trump? It's about ten points off every other poll overall, and like 20 points off on the republican voter ratings

I think gallup has it exactly right

[Matty]

Another possibility is that AP/NOPR is just one of those pollsters that tends to the low side for Trump.  Their previous survey in the 538 list (June 8-11) had Trump at 35/64 and was among the lowest around that time, too.

I'm guessing perhaps the respondents in the AP polls tend to be more urban and suburban, and not enough rural/exurban?

I don't think it's out of the question that trump is unpopular among many suburban and urban republicans.