PPP National Poll: Right now, it's Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 04, 2024, 05:18:16 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  PPP National Poll: Right now, it's Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: PPP National Poll: Right now, it's Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio  (Read 4848 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« on: December 06, 2012, 05:09:03 PM »

Dems

Clinton 61%
Biden 12%
Cuomo 5%
Warren 4%
O'Malley 2%
Patrick 1%
Schweitzer 1%
Warner 1%

If neither BIden nor Clinton run:

Cuomo 21%
Warren 16%
Patrick 8%
O'Malley 5%
Warner 3%
Schweitzer 2%

GOP

Rubio 18%
Christie 14%
Bush 12%
Ryan 12%
Huckabee 11%
Rice 8%
Palin 7%
Rand Paul 7%
Santorum 4%
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 06, 2012, 05:43:54 PM »

Cuomo's unfavorables are already at 40%! Excellent news.

No, 33%.  And that's with all voters.  Among Dems, his fav/unfav is 37%/21%.  Though that 21% is a higher unfavorable # than any of the other Dems have among Democratic voters.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 06, 2012, 06:13:09 PM »
« Edited: December 06, 2012, 06:16:36 PM by Mr. Morden »

Favorable/unfavorable margin among members of their own party:

Clinton 86/10% for +76%
Biden 80/14% for +66%
Warren 45/12% for +33%
Cuomo 37/21% for +16%
Patrick 17/15% for +2%
Warner 11/17% for -6%
O'Malley 7/17% for -10%
Schweitzer 5/19% for -14%

Ryan 74/15% for +59%
Huckabee 73/15% for +58%
Rice 73/18% for +55%
Rubio 62/11% for +51%
Bush 63/14% for +49%
Palin 66/24% for +42%
Santorum 56/17% for +39%
Rand Paul 53/22% for +31%
Christie 49/28% for +21%

So yeah, Christie has the best favorability margin of anyone among general election voters, but has the weakest favorability among Republicans…..yet still gets more support in the GOP primary than uber-popular Ryan.  Also, 73% of Republicans have an opinion of Rubio, which is actually lower than the rest of the GOP field.  So he's already leading the primary field, but still has room for growth, as he gains more recognition.

Also, in the primary matchup, Christie beats Rubio among moderates, but Rubio wins among all other demographic groups.  In the Democratic primary scenario without Biden or Clinton, Warren leads Cuomo among whites, so Cuomo's overall lead is entirely due to minorities.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #3 on: December 06, 2012, 06:51:14 PM »

Why are Patrick, Warner, O'Malley and Schweitzer so unpopular among Democrats? They don't seem to have anything common among them to explain their poor numbers.

Low name recognition pols always have poor favorability.  There are always a few people who say to themselves "I don't know who that is, so I'll say I haven an unfavorable opinion of them."  I don't really understand the reason, but I've seen it in countless polls over the years.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #4 on: December 06, 2012, 08:35:39 PM »

Another interesting tidbit from this poll: Both Christie and Clinton have great favorability ratings, but Christie's come mainly from strong crossover appeal to Dems and Indies, while Clinton's come more from her amazing numbers among Dems (and the fact that Dems outnumber Republicans 44-32%):

Christie fav. / unfav. among….
Democrats 42 / 25% for +17%
Independents 46 / 29% for +17%
Republicans 52 / 25% for +27%

Clinton fav. / unfav. among….
Democrats 81 / 12% for +69%
Independents 52 / 42% for +10%
Republicans 26 / 66% for -40%

I wish they would have included a Christie-Clinton general election matchup question.  I assume Clinton would still lead because of name recognition, but it would have been interesting nonetheless.  It would also make for an interesting electoral map.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 11 queries.