template 2012 electoral map with new electoral vote totals?

[Mr. Morden]

Anyone want to try to predict the post-2010 census electoral vote totals for each state, and then compile that into a template map that can be used for all of our 2012 predictions?

[Mr. Morden]

I got this from muon2 a while back, but I made one change. I added 1EV to NC to make the total EV 540. I don't like odd numbers.

Isn't the number of electoral votes fixed at 538?

That is, isn't the House of Reps now fixed at 435 members, then add in 100 senators and 3 EV for DC and you get 538, no?

[Mr. Morden]

I like how The South is gaining more EVs, while bigger Northern and Western states lose theirs. Why is that?

1) Cuban immigrants in Florida becoming citizens
2) Mexican immigrants in Texas, New Mexico, Arizona, and California becoming citizens

I thought apportionment was based on the total number of legal residents, not citizens.  If so, the only people who wouldn't be counted would be illegal aliens.