Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Nebraska 1st CD (user search)
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  Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Nebraska 1st CD (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate NE-01 and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Toss-Up
 
#5
Lean R
 
#6
Likely R
 
#7
Safe R
 
#8
Clinton
 
#9
Trump
 
#10
Other
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 83

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Nebraska 1st CD  (Read 1141 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,322
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: September 03, 2016, 10:49:21 AM »

Likely R, Trump wins 53-43. Seems like a bad area for Trump, but it would take an enormous win on Hillary's part to really make this close.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,322
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: September 04, 2016, 12:15:27 PM »
« Edited: September 04, 2016, 12:24:13 PM by xīngkěruì »

Why are there so many votes for Likely R? Clinton would need to win by about 20 points nationally to flip this district.

I'm not sure it would take a 20-point win, but some have differing ideas about what "safe" means. I highly doubt Trump has any kind of chance in Michigan or Minnesota, but I rated them Likely D out of caution.
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