FL-Tel Opinion Research: Biden 39, Sanders 16, others 5 or less (user search)
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  FL-Tel Opinion Research: Biden 39, Sanders 16, others 5 or less (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-Tel Opinion Research: Biden 39, Sanders 16, others 5 or less  (Read 1193 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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Posts: 30,325
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Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« on: May 11, 2019, 12:28:52 PM »

I doubt Sanders is down 30 nationally if he's down 23 in one of his worst primary states...
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2019, 05:28:17 PM »

I doubt Sanders is down 30 nationally if he's down 23 in one of his worst primary states...

That math doesn't necessarily track if it's not a two-way primary.

And I think what makes FL terrible for Sanders is his low ceiling, not a low floor. So he could be currently polling near his national average in the state, but unlike in other states, he's about capped out around 20-25% here.

I mean, other than the Deep South states and maybe Delaware, where else would he lose by more than 30%? I was simply saying that a 23% loss for Sanders, while obviously not what he needs, does not suggest he's losing by 30% or that it's a 49 state near sweep for Biden.
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