^ With the exception of Hagan, who's had her favorable numbers hammered down over the last year, Burr leads a bunch of Democats who each have 20-30% name recognition. I wouldn't extrapolate too much out of that in terms of Hillary.
This is a sample that voted the same as the actual result, Romney +2.
However, Burr is only below 45% in one of the 5 matchups. Undecideds need to go overwhelmingly against Burr for him to lose. Burr comes closest to 50% against Hagan, who is supposed to be the strongest possible challenger. And McIntyre, who pulls Burr the furthest under 50%, is unlikely to run and may have trouble turning out the democratic base since he's such a conservadem. It's time to move this over to Likely R.
Most of the undecideds are non-white though. Burr's low approval rating is an alarming detriment and won't get much better if he doesn't define himself before the campaign.
