PPP national: Hillary leads all Republicans (user search)
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  PPP national: Hillary leads all Republicans (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP national: Hillary leads all Republicans  (Read 1780 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« on: June 18, 2015, 10:50:49 PM »
« edited: June 18, 2015, 10:55:01 PM by Wulfric »

Months of trashing everything Clinton has ever done and this is the best than can muster.

Hillary will be up double digits after the awful GOP debates.

Right, because the GOP Debates were immediately helpful to the democrats in the 2012 cycle Roll Eyes

Per RCP, Obama led Romney 48.6-42.1% at the beginning of June, 2011 (just before Romney participated in a GOP debate for the first time). By the day after the end of the pre-primary GOP Debates (December 16, 2011), Obama's lead had decreased to 46.4-44.6%. Even allowing a little time for the final debate to sink in does not help your argument: On the day of the Iowa Caucus, Obama's lead was just 46.6-45.0%. While this doesn't mean that the 2011 GOP Debates were the (sole) reason for the decreasing Obama lead during them, it illustrates that there is no recent precedent for GOP Debates immediately increasing a democratic polling lead.

Now if you had said "after the early state primaries", you actually would have had a point - Obama had a large bounce in the weeks immediately following the florida primary, and exceeded that 48.6% number. But you said "after the debates", which there is not a recent precedent for.
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