VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (user search)
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  VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)  (Read 100806 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
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*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #25 on: November 07, 2017, 08:33:35 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION: HERRING WINS

Attorney General
CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Mark Herring*
Democrat
955,757   51.5%   
John Adams
Republican
898,727   48.5   
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #26 on: November 07, 2017, 08:35:54 PM »
DEMS TAKE DISTRICT 73:

73    52%Debra Rodman DEM.    48%John O'Bannon* REP.   96%


Count at Dem 43 Rep 42. First Dem lead of the night. Northam might actually get his majority!
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #27 on: November 07, 2017, 08:38:19 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION: FAIRFAX WINS

Justin Fairfax
Democrat
982,952   51.1%   
Jill Vogel
Republican
940,620   48.9   
79% reporting (2,030 of 2,566 precincts)
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #28 on: November 07, 2017, 08:45:33 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION: DEMOCRATS WIN DISTRICT 42

42    62%Kathy Tran DEM.    38%Lolita Mancheno-Smoak REP.   63%

Count at Dem 44 Rep 42. Dems 6 wins away from majority, since Fairfax can break a tie.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #29 on: November 07, 2017, 08:48:22 PM »
« Edited: November 07, 2017, 08:51:15 PM by Dwarven Dragon »
WULFRIC PROJECTION: DEMS TAKE DISTRICT 12

12    62%Chris Hurst DEM.    38%Joseph Yost* REP.   57%

Count at Dem 45 Rep 42
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #30 on: November 07, 2017, 08:50:53 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION: REPS HOLD DISTRICT 100

100    55%Robert Bloxom* REP.    45%Willie Randall DEM.   78%

Count at Dem 45 Rep 43
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #31 on: November 07, 2017, 08:59:29 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION: REPS HOLD DISTRICT 28

28    53%Robert Thomas REP.    47%Joshua Cole DEM.   91%

This is what I've called so far:

Districts called(D): 27,13, 10, 32, 2, 50, 34, 87, 93, 51, 31, 73, 42, 12

Districts Called (R): 62, 100, 28

Count at Ds at 45-44
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #32 on: November 07, 2017, 09:08:30 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION: REPS HOLD DISTRICT 26


26    53%Tony Wilt* REP.    47%Brent Finnegan DEM.   96%

Tied at 45 now.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #33 on: November 07, 2017, 09:12:06 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION: DEMS TAKE DISTRICT 67

67    58%Karrie Delaney DEM.    42%James LeMunyon* REP.   81%

Dems at 46-45 advantage
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #34 on: November 07, 2017, 09:20:08 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION: REPS HOLD DISTRICT 33 & 83

33    55%David LaRock* REP.    45%Tia Walbridge DEM.   97%

83    56%Chris Stolle* REP.    44%David Rose-Carmack DEM.   77%

Republicans back with a slight lead at 47 seats to the democrats 46 seats

Districts called(D): 27,13, 10, 32, 2, 50, 34, 87, 93, 51, 31, 73, 42, 12, 67

Districts Called (R): 62, 100, 28, 26, 33, 83
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #35 on: November 07, 2017, 09:30:51 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION: CALLING DISTRICT 72 FOR DEMS

72    53%Schuyler VanValkenburg DEM.    47%Edward Whitlock REP.   93%


Tie at 47 now. Dems at a net gain of +13 per my projections.

Districts called(D): 27,13, 10, 32, 2, 50, 34, 87, 93, 51, 31, 73, 42, 12, 67, 72

Districts Called (R): 62, 100, 28, 26, 33, 83
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #36 on: November 07, 2017, 09:43:47 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION UPDATE:

As District 27 might go to a recount, I'm putting it back in too close to call.

Districts called(D): 13, 10, 32, 2, 50, 34, 87, 93, 51, 31, 73, 42, 12, 67, 72

Districts Called (R): 62, 100, 28, 26, 33, 83

Overall (includes safe seats): Rep 47 Dem 46 (D+12)

Undecided: 21, 27 (recount likely), 40, 68, 84, 85, 94 (recount likely)
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #37 on: November 07, 2017, 10:04:01 PM »
WULFRIC PROJECTION: DEMS GET DISTRICT 21

21    53%Kelly Convirs-Fowler DEM.    47%Ronald Villanueva* REP.   95%


R 47
D 47 (Net: D + 13)

Districts called(D):
13, 10, 32, 2, 50, 34, 87, 93, 51, 31, 73, 42, 12, 67, 72, 21

Districts Called (R): 62, 100, 28, 26, 33, 83

Undecided: 27 (recount likely), 40, 68, 84, 85, 94 (recount likely)
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #38 on: November 07, 2017, 11:19:01 PM »
This is where the night appears to be ending for HoD in VA. Will give another update in the morning if anything comes in overnight.

R 47
D 47 (Net: D + 13)

51 needed for majority

Districts called(D):
13, 10, 32, 2, 50, 34, 87, 93, 51, 31, 73, 42, 12, 67, 72, 21

Districts Called (R): 62, 100, 28, 26, 33, 83

Undecided: 27 (recount likely), 40 (recount likely), 68 (recount likely), 84, 85, 94 (recount likely)
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #39 on: November 10, 2017, 09:58:12 PM »
#TrumpismIsDead
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #40 on: November 10, 2017, 10:24:58 PM »
Has a Dem ever carried Chesterfield in a statewide race before this?
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #41 on: November 10, 2017, 10:27:37 PM »
Quote from: Greedo The Hunter on November 10, 2017, 10:26:58 PM
Dang Well Trumpism is DEAD when I said Gillespie would win 48.72%-48.31% I thought that chesterfield would be a 7-11 point victory.
This is just insane!

Well your Predictions are trash.

Quote from: PNM on November 10, 2017, 10:25:32 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on November 10, 2017, 10:24:58 PM
Has a Dem ever carried Chesterfield in a statewide race before this?

Warner 2008

What about before that?
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