CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - KS

District 3
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kevin Yoder*
15,068   64.7%   
Trevor Keegan
5,329   22.9   
Joe Myers
2,897   12.4   
23,294 votes, <1% reporting (1 of 628 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - MO:

U.S. House District 1 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
William Lacy Clay*
42,172   57.6%   
Cori Bush
25,856   35.3   
Joshua Shipp
2,816   3.8   
DeMarco Davidson
2,398   3.3   
73,242 votes, 57% reporting (273 of 481 precincts)

U.S. House District 6 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Henry Martin
18,638   41.8%   
Winston Apple
13,670   30.6   
Ed Andres
12,309   27.6   
44,617 votes, 83% reporting (390 of 472 precincts)

U.S. House District 7 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Jamie Schoolcraft
10,992   41.8%   
John Farmer de la Torre
5,686   21.6   
Kenneth Hatfield
5,662   21.5   
Vince Jennings
3,967   15.1   
26,307 votes, 74% reporting (250 of 340 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS:

Washington Senate: Maria Cantwell (D) and Susan Hutchinson (R) advance.

Washington CD 1: Susan DelBene (D) and Jeffrey Beeler (R) advance.

Washington CD 2: Rick Larson (D) finishes first, TOO CLOSE TO CALL for Spot 2

Washington CD 3: Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) and Carolyn Long (D) advance.

Washington CD 5: Cathy McMorrisRodgers (R) and Lisa Brown (D) advance.

Washington CD 8: Dino Rossi (R) finishes first, TOO CLOSE TO CALL for Spot 2

Washington CD 9: Adam Smith (D) finishes first, TOO CLOSE TO CALL for Spot 2

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS:

Washington Court of Appeals Div. 1 Dist. 3 Pos. 1: Tom SeGuine finishes first, TOO CLOSE TO CALL for Slot 2

Washington CD 6: Derek Kilmer (D) and Douglas Dightman (R) advance.

Washington CD 10: Denny Heck (D) and Joseph Brumbles (R) advance.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - MO:

U.S. House District 2 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Cort VanOstran
40,238   41.5%   
Mark Osmack
24,209   25.0   
Bill Haas
19,097   19.7   
John Messmer
9,515   9.8   
Robert Hazel
3,913   4.0   
96,972 votes, 92% reporting (416 of 450 precincts)

District 4
Libertarian Party Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Mark Bliss
365   56.7%   
Steven Koonse
279   43.3   
644 votes, 95% reporting (344 of 363 precincts)

District 5
Libertarian Party Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Alexander Howell
512   56.3%   
Cisse Spragins
398   43.7   
910 votes, 99% reporting (356 of 360 precincts)

Auditor
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Saundra McDowell
190,474   32.7%   
David Wasinger
155,497   26.7   
Kevin Roach
141,409   24.3   
Paul Curtman
95,493   16.4   
582,873 votes, 97% reporting (3,128 of 3,228 precincts)

Senate
Green Party Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Jo Crain
862   57.6%   
Jerome Bauer
634   42.4   
1,496 votes, 97% reporting (3,128 of 3,228 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - KS:

District 2
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Steve Watkins
19,319   26.2%   
Caryn Tyson
16,938   23.0   
Kevin Jones
11,580   15.7   
Steve Fitzgerald
8,933   12.1   
Dennis Pyle
8,839   12.0   
Doug Mays
6,087   8.3   
Vernon Fields
1,912   2.6   
73,608 votes, 96% reporting (882 of 917 precincts)

Sec. State
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Scott Schwab
81,897   35.4%   
Randy Duncan
51,087   22.1   
Dennis Taylor
49,934   21.6   
Craig McCullah
28,086   12.1   
Keith Esau
20,417   8.8   
231,421 votes, 83% reporting (2,923 of 3,539 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - MI:

U.S. House District 13 »
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Rashida Tlaib
20,654   35.1%   
Brenda Jones
17,391   29.6   
Coleman Young II
7,923   13.5   
Bill Wild
5,579   9.5   
Ian Conyers
3,886   6.6   
Shanelle Jackson
3,395   5.8   
58,828 votes, 85% reporting (356 of 421 precincts)

U.S. House District 10 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kimberly Bizon
18,056   40.8%   
Frank Accavitti
14,295   32.3   
Michael McCarthy
11,883   26.9   
44,234 votes, 83% reporting (275 of 330 precincts)

WULFRIC PROJECTION - MO:

U.S. House District 4 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Renee Hoagenson
24,139   51.9%   
Hallie Thompson
22,398   48.1   
46,537 votes, 99% reporting (360 of 363 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Pluses of tonight
TLAIB!
Longjohn(MI-6)-
Minuses
Balderson winning(Only b/c republicans will be unbearable)
Sayed losing, but it's only a minor loss. Whitmer is cool.
Saad losing(MI-11)(Wanted Stevens)

Praying for Welder but it doesn't look good. If only JD could've found somebody who didn't carpetbag from Missouri lol

MI-11 isn't really over yet, only 48% in per NYT.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Let's take a look at the Amazing Senate Primary Turnout Map! In Missouri, Republicans won by a silm margin of 53%-47%, a great sign for McCaskill! In Washington State, Dems cast 58% of the votes in the Jungle Primary to Republicans 37%. Still need some more results before coloring MI.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Let's take a look at the Amazing Senate Primary Turnout Map! In Missouri, Republicans won by a silm margin of 53%-47%, a great sign for McCaskill! In Washington State, Dems cast 58% of the votes in the Jungle Primary to Republicans 37%. Still need some more results before coloring MI.

Why isn’t New York colored Red?

Both Senate Primaries were uncontested, New York exempts uncontested races from the primary entirely. I'll get a makeshift figure during the gubernatorial primaries in September.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Let's take a look at the Amazing Senate Primary Turnout Map! In Missouri, Republicans won by a silm margin of 53%-47%, a great sign for McCaskill! In Washington State, Dems cast 58% of the votes in the Jungle Primary to Republicans 37%. Still need some more results before coloring MI.

Why isn’t New York colored Red?

Both Senate Primaries were uncontested, New York exempts uncontested races from the primary entirely. I'll get a makeshift figure during the gubernatorial primaries in September.

Then why did you color Virginia red, when Tim Kaine didn’t have a primary, because he ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination?

I did an alternate calculation using the turnout in the various house primaries. Same for Utah.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

lmao what

Wow, I kinda want Jones just to win the special race just for the novelty of it lol.

Would be interesting to see if she even gets sworn in for that month-and-a-half term.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

LOL, beautiful flawless Dino Rossi at only 43%.

Atlas and the pundits told me he'd make the race a toss up, maybe even lean R. How can this be?!

If only Greedo was here. lol

See, this is why we shouldn't have banned him.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION - FINISHING UP MO:

District 1
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Robert Vroman
5,095   34.5%   
Edward Van Deventer
4,864   32.9   
Camille Lombardi-Olive
4,820   32.6   
14,779 votes, 100% reporting (481 of 481 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - MI:

Governor
Libertarian Party Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Bill Gelineau
3,944   58.4%   
John Tatar
2,814   41.6   
6,758 votes, 98% reporting (4,687 of 4,805 precincts)

U.S. House District 9 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Andy Levin
49,469   52.5%   
Ellen Lipton
39,900   42.4   
Martin Brook
4,841   5.1   
94,210 votes, 100% reporting (306 of 306 precincts)

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - FINISHING UP KS:

U.S. House District 3 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Sharice Davids
22,891   37.3%   
Brent Welder
20,803   33.9   
Tom Niermann
8,740   14.3   
Mike McCamon
4,243   6.9   
Sylvia Williams
2,896   4.7   
Jay Sidie
1,748   2.9   
61,321 votes, 100% reporting (628 of 628 precincts)

APPARENT WINNER:

Governor
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kris Kobach
126,257   40.6%   
Jeff Colyer*
126,066   40.5   
Jim Barnett
27,449   8.8   
Ken Selzer
24,356   7.8   
Patrick Kucera
3,123   1.0   
Tyler Ruzich
2,217   0.7   
Joseph Tutera
1,541   0.5   
311,009 votes, 100% reporting (3,539 of 3,539 precincts)

-----------------

Still unable to call the following races:

MI - CD 11 D and R, CD 13 Special D
WA - CD 2 Slot 2, CD 8 Slot 2, CD 9 Slot 2, Court of Appeals Div. 1 Dist. 3 Pos. 1 Slot 2

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

APPARENT WINNER:

Governor
Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Kris Kobach
126,257   40.6%   
Jeff Colyer*
126,066   40.5   

Doesn't this go to a recount?

Potentially Yes. But "apparent winner" means just that - this candidate appears to have won, but some small error/legal challenge/whatever could change it.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Updating the Senate Primary Turnout Map, first I'll note that Missouri narrowed from 53-47 R to 52-48 R overnight. Second, in Michigan, where I'll use the gubernatorial numbers as there isn't an indication Stabenow was listed on the ballot, Dems won 53-47.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - MI:

U.S. House District 11 »
Democratic Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Haley Stevens
23,997   27.0%
Tim Greimel
19,317   21.8
Suneel Gupta
18,873   21.3
Fayrouz Saad
17,294   19.5
Nancy Skinner
9,234   10.4
88,715 votes, 100% reporting (291 of 291 precincts)

Republican Primary
CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Lena Epstein
26,119   30.7%
Rocky Raczkowski
21,618   25.4
Mike Kowall
15,761   18.6
Klint Kesto
11,879   14.0
Kerry Bentivolio
9,584   11.3
84,961 votes, 100% reporting (291 of 291 precincts)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Matt Morgan is claiming victory in his MI-01 D write-in bid, though we may not know officially for weeks.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I will first note for the record that as shown by the SOS, Stabenow did have a nominal primary against write-ins. The turnout margin is virtually the same as the governor's race, so the map posted earlier remains accurate. https://miboecfr.nictusa.com/election/results/2018PRI_CENR.html

Also, it's official: We have different nominees in MI-13 Regular and MI-13 Special:

13th District Representative in Congress 2 Year Term (1) Position Files In WAYNE County   1/1 Counties
Votes   Percent   
Democratic
Conyers, Ian   5,861   6.57%   
 
Democratic
Jackson, Shanelle   4,848   5.44%   
 
Democratic
Jones, Brenda   26,916   30.18%   
 
Democratic
Tlaib, Rashida   27,803   31.18%   
 
Democratic
Wild, Bill   12,589   14.12%   
 
Democratic
Young, II, Coleman A.   11,162   12.52%   
 
Total Votes:   89,179

      
13th District Representative in Congress Partial Term Ending 01/02/2019 (1) Position Files In WAYNE County   1/1 Counties
Votes   Percent   
Democratic
Conyers, Ian   9,740   11.23%   
 
Democratic
Jones, Brenda   32,727   37.75%   
 
Democratic
Tlaib, Rashida   31,084   35.85%   
 
Democratic
Wild, Bill   13,152   15.17%   
 
Total Votes:   86,703

--------------------

We now know the (apparent) outcomes of all the primaries aside from a few contests for 2nd place in Washington which could take several days or even a week to know.      

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Ready to call the second place finisher in the WA Judicial Primary:

Court of Appeals, Division 1, District 3 - Judge Position 1County Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Tom SeGuine
23,837   27.25% finishes first
Lisa Keeler
19,851   22.69%
Cecily Hazelrigg-Hernandez
21,178   24.21% finishes second
Roger Leishman
8,378   9.58%
Rita Latsinova
14,241   16.28%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   87,485   

Still too close to call for the second slot in CDs 2, 8 and 9.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Ready to make another call in Washington:

Congressional District 9 - U.S. RepresentativeCounty Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Doug Basler(Prefers Republican Party)
34,830   24.76%
Sarah Smith(Prefers Democratic Party)
37,412   26.6% finishes second
Adam Smith(Prefers Democratic Party)
68,409   48.64% finishes first
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   140,651   

Still too close to call for 2nd place in CDs 2 and 8.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

And another call is ready to go:


Congressional District 8 - U.S. RepresentativeCounty Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Dino Rossi(Prefers GOP Party)
70,854   43.22% finishes first
Jason Rittereiser(Prefers Democratic Party)
29,596   18.05%
Keith Arnold(Prefers Independent)*(No Party)
1,053   0.64%
Bill Grassie(Prefers Indep. Centrist Party)
1,108   0.68%
Kim Schrier(Prefers Democratic Party)
30,663   18.7% finishes second
Todd Mahaffey(States No Party Preference)
648   0.4%
Jack Hughes-Hageman(Prefers The Republican Party)
4,141   2.53%
Shannon Hader(Prefers Democratic Party)
20,513   12.51%
Tom Cramer(Prefers Democratic Party)
1,417   0.86%
Gordon Allen Pross(Prefers Republican Party)
1,998   1.22%
Patrick Dillon(Prefers Neither Major Party)
857   0.52%
Richard Travis Reyes(Prefers Libertarian Party)
1,099   0.67%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   163,947   

This leaves the 2nd slot in CD 2 uncalled. Don't expect me to call that race until Thursday or Friday of next week because it is so ridiculously close.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

huh, Kerry Bentivolio was running in MI-11 and finished last.

I still don't understand why that district wasn't competitive when he was the Republican nominee.

He did lose the special election.

Also, while a 51-44 Republican win in the regular election isn't exactly competitive, it is closer than what we got in 2010, 2014, and 2016.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Hawaii Results: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/11/us/elections/results-hawaii-primary-elections.html

Polls will close at Midnight ET, but don't expect results until around 1 AM ET.