Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (v2) (user search)
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  Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (v2) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Georgia's Very Own Megathread! (v2)  (Read 143358 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: November 09, 2018, 01:21:21 AM »

About 1,500 provisionals exist in the Gwinnett County Portion of GA-7. Assuming all are valid, with the current gap of 890 votes, Bourdeaux will need to win by 1195-305 (79.7%-20.3%). Seems like a pretty tall order, but maybe it could be done.

https://www.ajc.com/news/local-govt--politics/gwinnett-extends-hours-for-voters-get-provisional-ballots-verified/xyFlEDOE0GASuylnTOHClK/
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2018, 11:41:24 PM »

Abrams reserving ad time for the runoff. Clearly she knows something we don't: https://www.politico.com/story/2018/11/09/georgia-2018-elections-stacey-abrams-runoff-982557
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2018, 02:41:01 PM »

CNN updated GA-7 to 140,279-139,746. I assume that is the provisionals. Difference is 533. It's certainly close enough to ask for a full recount.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #3 on: December 04, 2018, 07:24:22 PM »

NYTimes page is at: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/12/04/us/elections/results-georgia-secretary-of-state-runoff.html
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #4 on: December 04, 2018, 08:27:54 PM »

Numbers in Columbus, Augusta, Macon, Savannah suggest Barrow still could catch up, while numbers in the Atlanta Suburbs suggest otherwise.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #5 on: December 04, 2018, 08:43:03 PM »

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Candidate   Party   Votes   Pct.
Brad Raffensperger
Republican
396,029   60.6%

John Barrow
Democrat
257,032   39.4
653,061 votes, 37% reporting (969 of 2,634 precincts)
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #6 on: December 04, 2018, 09:07:50 PM »

The fact that Barrow hasn't broken 40% yet when we have 52% of the vote reporting is just sad.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #7 on: December 04, 2018, 09:32:58 PM »

First bit of Fulton finally, Barrow at 74%, Abrams at 72%.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #8 on: December 04, 2018, 09:45:41 PM »

Barrow now at 45.4%, still a quarter of the vote outstanding. He's not going to win, but so much for Griff's prediction that Raff was going to win by 12 and IceSpear's doom and gloom. This is a decent performance, way better than the last run of this in 2008.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #9 on: December 04, 2018, 10:21:58 PM »

AP calls it
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #10 on: December 04, 2018, 11:22:37 PM »

And it's at 52%-48%. Fulton at 329/373 in. Still that 1 precinct in Cobb left. Nothing else.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #11 on: December 04, 2018, 11:39:53 PM »

Georgia 2008 Senate Runoff - R+14
Tonight's Runoff (98% in) - R+4

Ten point drop in 10 short years. If the state continues changing at the same rate, a runoff will be winnable by 2023. So much for Georgia runoffs being "death forever", lol.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,938
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #12 on: December 05, 2018, 01:10:33 AM »

Tentative Final Count:

Candidate   Party   Votes   Pct.
Brad Raffensperger
Republican
756,016   52.0%

John Barrow
Democrat
698,770   48.0
1,454,786 votes, 100% reporting (2,634 of 2,634 precincts)

Overall a solid democratic performance. 48.6% in this race on election night, 48.0% in the runoff. Neligible drop-off. I'm pleased.
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