Does anyone think Palin's chances for the GOP nom are around 80+?

[Lunar]

I don't see what her coherent argument will eventually be to $35 million dollars of negative ads calling her a quitter.  That being in the media spotlight as governor was too hard on her family?  That she could really serve her state better by doing bookdeals?


Ultimately, I think it's close to 5% than 80%, mostly because there's little doubt in my mind that Palin lacks organizational skills to build an efficient, mistake-free campaign.  She's a paper tiger, 100%.

[Lunar]

#4 - Beet, her ineptitude was severely minimized by the fact that McCain campaign kept her mostly controlled.

[Lunar]

One more thing --- if you were Palin and you had decided 100% that you didn't want the spotlight on your family again and did not want to run for the presidency, but you still wanted to be a celebrity adored by fans throwing money at you....would you make a Shermanesque statement?

I don't think she is since she is an infinitely ambitious woman, but one of the arguments above is that she hasn't denied her interest....well, she'd sell less books and get paid less for speeches if she did!