Virginia 2009 Megathread

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the VA GOP, ah, if only there were words:

http://newmajority.com/ShowScroll.aspx?ID=2375f462-17b3-41e7-98f9-b7c1e494b8bc

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new radio ad out on black radio stations.

Did Terry support Obama in the primaries? I forget.

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I don't think any African-Americans care that Terry was a hardcore Clinton fan in the primaries that much, she's no longer super unpopular.  And Terry did "Campaign Hard for Obama".

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gHNUVF-n8Nw
"I'm 100% for Barack Obama.  I love Barack Obama!" - June 2008

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here's a collection of him being really really hackish during the campaign, nothing useful in there for attack ads though:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LrsJ3cbHM1Y

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Still waiting for someone to show me some anti-Obama statement Terry has made that can be used against him.  All he's done, that I've seen on Youtube looking around, is make delusional and constant hackish Hillary claims that she was still going to win.

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Terry's only raised $4.2 million in the first quarter, so he's not doing too well

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Terry's only raised $4.2 million in the first quarter, so he's not doing too well

What have Deeds and Moran raised?

Let's just say that $1 million for Senatorial candidates is phenomenal for a first-quarter number.

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Terry's only raised $4.2 million in the first quarter, so he's not doing too well

What have Deeds and Moran raised?

Let's just say that $1 million for Senatorial candidates is phenomenal for a first-quarter number.

Also, if Deeds or Moran raised one fourth of that, we'd probably have heard of it already this week, but I won't say that for sure.

Webb won despite being outspent 4-1 in his own primary,

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Yeah, but a legitimate excuse doesn't change the facts


One of the facts, by the way, is that Moran will be unemployed or governor next December

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http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2009/04/09/creigh-deeds-shakes-up-virginia-money-race/

CNN fail, only read that as an example of how not to write a political article if you have an IQ under 40

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idle question, how many of VA's Democratic governors (Wilder, Kaine, and Warner) have been solidly liberal on the issues?

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Also, Hillary isn't exactly unpopular in Southwest Virginia, eh?

Terry splitting the liberal vote??

Well, more specifically, Terry should do well with partisans, many of whom are liberal

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indeed, partisanship and wads of cash that overwhelm your opponent in primary off-years


well it's not a bad combination of events.

as to why they're support Terry?  You'll have to ask them that.  Most of the electorate aren't people who realized what a ridiculous persona Terry created for himself during the '08 primaries

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As I said earlier in this thread, it's not like he ever said anything very negative about Obama, his biggest hack contribution was constantly and blatantly denying that Clinton wasn't winning...he's an insanely positive person

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http://notlarrysabato.typepad.com/doh/2009/04/virginia-republicans-are-for-lesbian-lovers.html

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Deeds really needs to step it up and make some headlines by actually promoting himself as a moderate.  He was endorsed by the NRA OVER McDonnell in their AG race a few years ago.  He can't make the argument that he's the most electable candidate if people don't know anything about him and the poll numbers look like this.

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can't Terry piss away his money in a way that pisses other people off less?

wow

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Disgusting.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mKdyEPGiM7o&feature=player_embedded

I like the comment that says "Looks like Terry couldn't find any actual yards to put signs in... "

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http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/04/19/AR2009041901758.html

"Va. Gubernatorial Candidates Meet in Debate, Agree on Issues"

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http://www.youtube.com/user/DeedsforVirginia

Deeds comes out with TWO ads

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Terry McAuliffe is inherently a controversial political figure, despite actually being one of the most insanely positive people you'll ever meet in your entire life.  Democratic activists that I've talked to who are not part of the Clinton faction, tend to passionately hate him. He introduced new dynamics into the race that, to my knowledge, have never been replicated races nationwide before.   I have no idea what the general election implications are of him winning or losing a competitive primary are.  Hell, I don't even now what kind of governor he'd be.



Is there a historical equivalent at all?

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FbrhDvKk1zk

his first ad is up.  note title of post

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SUSA Virginia Governor

Dem Primary
McAuliffe 37%
Deeds 26%
Moran 22%

General Election Matchups
McDonnell 46%
McAuliffe 40%

McDonnell 46%
Deeds 40%

McDonnell 47%
Moran 37%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=51ed4b5b-05e4-4828-a866-eee035fb91dd

If Deeds can keep up his fundraising arm and the momentum, this might be a good upset.

Another notable fact is that Deeds is polling just as well as Terry against McDonnell. 

Moran has gone hard-negative against Terry in his ads...good news for Deeds on that front as well.

Terry is still the frontrunner IMO.  When's the primary again?

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Huge for Deeds indeed.

WaPo gets it.

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I've suggested it before, but genuine liberals don't win Virginia governor's races, at least they have't the last twenty+ years.

Moran is a comically incompetent campaigner anyway.  I do appreciate him going hard-negative on Terry though, even if Joe Trippi just doesn't get it.