Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[Mr. Smith]

I think I'm bowing out of this until at least 10% of precincts are in...this is too stressful right now and I do have some homework to finish.

[Mr. Smith]

RIP McGrath I guess

[Mr. Smith]

I guess this is 2002 all over again. Took me awhile to finish homework because of this, but I think I'm gonna go make dinner and get some errands done.

RIP Florida, RIP McGrath, might as well guess Heller hangs on at this point.

C'ya' I think I'll spend the rest of this night on AAD.

[Mr. Smith]

Rosendale is ahead by 3097 votes.

"Assuming" the SOS site is correct and there are only 4311 votes yet to be counted, Tester would needed 85.8% of the ballots to go his way to win.

JON TESTER   199175   
MATT ROSENDALE   202262   
RICK BRECKENRIDGE   11891   
      
TOTAL VOTES COUNTED   413328   
      
Total Turnout   417639   
      
Remaining Votes   4311   
      
Rosendale lead   3087   
      
Tester Needs to win   3699          85.80%

85% could very well happen, considering what's left is in Gallatin and Missoula.

I mean yeah, I'm not gonna be surprised if that doesn't happen, but far from implausible.

[Mr. Smith]

Don't look now but... the  Florida races aren't over.

Rick Scott 50.1%

Bill Nelson 49.9%

Nelson is down by only 22,000 votes

Ron DeSantis 49.6%

Andrew Gillum 49.1%

Gillum is down by only 43,000 votes.

Gillum is done 43000 is way too large.
I give Nelson 1/10

True, but they keep gaining votes and lowering their deficits, Gillum was down by 68,000.

Still too high a price for Gillum. But Nelson...improbable, but not implausible. I consider him done.

Still better chance for Sinema than either of them.

[Mr. Smith]

Looks like Williams will end up doing better than Quist after all.

RATINGS CHANGE: Montana: #Populist -> Neoliberal Shill

No Mark Wicks this time.