NH-CBS/YouGov: Hassan +1

[RINO Tom]

Hassan only wins females by 9 points (45-36) in this poll, while 19% of them are still "undecided". Junk poll. This race is Safe D.

Great analysis, they'll have you on TV in no time.

[RINO Tom]

Hassan only wins females by 9 points (45-36) in this poll, while 19% of them are still "undecided". Junk poll. This race is Safe D.

Great analysis, they'll have you on TV in no time.

Thanks man, but it's too early to accept #accolades

Also keep in mind that Hassan has a history of outperforming the polls on election day because of her strong ground game. She was ahead by 5 in the RCP average in 2012, but she beat that random male by 12 in the end. I expect a repeat this time. Ayotte won't lose by as much as Trump because she's a woman, but she can't win this race (I'd say her absolute ceiling is 48%).

You think the only reason she'll outperform Trump is because she's a woman?  What about Trump being a jerk who makes outlandish statements and causes sane people to question whether he's fit to serve?  That's probably worth a point or two.