RINO Tom
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Posts: 17,069
Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52
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« on: May 17, 2019, 09:56:48 AM » |
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I hold the apparently unpopular opinion that post-Trump primaries will have dynamics more similar to 2008 or 2012 than 2016, so I would say Haley, DeSantis and Cotton would be the major players with DeSantis or Haley scraping out a plurality. Cotton will represent the far right, and the nomination will go to either whoever handles the spotlight better and can craft a larger coalition out of Haley or DeSantis. I think we should all remember that blue state Republicans hold a disproportionate amount of power in nominating candidates, and they historically have been a tad more moderate. Perhaps counter-intuitively, they were actually the ones that probably gave Trump the nomination.
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