IA: Quinnipiac - Ernst up 4

[Recalcuate]

Can we just accept that Buck Brinkley is done?

I don't think you can if you are a red avatar, because if you do, you have to assume CO is gone too. That would put the Republicans at 49.

Hence, the two semi-realistic paths to a D majority seats goes through AK, LA, KS and GA for 51 or drop LA into the R column and AK, KS and GA and have Joe Biden break all ties. (assuming Orman caucuses with the Ds).

Good luck with that. IA opens up more pathways for the D's hopes of keeping the Senate.