2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[OSR stands with Israel]

Here's 270 to win Forcast(They still have the GOP winning the House):


https://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/

[OSR stands with Israel]

The GOP is finished. Libs using extra monies from Trump tax scam to send to lib candidates

That's all you ever post in these types of threads I swear.

Because elections are predictable if you know what to look for. This site absolutely loses it with 1 bad poll while ignoring the special election victories in deep red districts, gobs of money being raised, Trump's abysmal approval rating, etc...

Except unlike 2010 and 2014 the GOP is more popular than Trump (in 2010 Obama was more popular than the Dem Party)

[OSR stands with Israel]

We had anti administration waves in 2006, 2010, and 2014.  Actually history would mitigate against a 4th similar wave.

Evidence of different projections for college educated and non college voters would support such a likelihood.

In 2016 we all know the nation voted like 2 different nations. It may be that division will continue in 2018.  It may we’ll be that national generic polls may well mask this division.

You know in 2016 we were all surprised Trump was elected, that the GOP retained the Senate, and the GOP did not lose more seats in the House. Surprise again.

Midterms are almost always bad for the party in the white house. Its not a recent trend that started in 2006.

Not Always

In 2002 the GOP gained 8 House seats and 2 Senate seats
In 1998 the GOP actually lost 4 House seats and the Senate numbers did not change
In 1990 the GOP only LOST just 7 seats in the House and 0 in the Senate
In 1982 the Senate was unchanged, the GOP LOST 26 in the House
In 1978 the GOP gained 15 in the House and 2 in the Senate
In 1970 the GOP lost just 2 in the House and gained 3 in the Senate
In 1962 the GOP lost 4 in the House and only gained one in the Senate.

Since 1896 there have never been four successive midterm wave elections.  I do not believe before 1896 either

1930, 1934, 1938, 1942, 1946, 1950, possibly 1954, 1958...c'mon dude, a google search would have shown otherwise.

1934 was the opposite of a wave