AL-SEN: It’s Tuberville

[OSR stands with Israel]

Jones wins 49-47. Yes, it’s a presidential year, but the NRSC wouldn’t support him, he’d most likely still run an awful campaign, and Jones probably gets a very slight incumbency advantage bump.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Jones has a +6 approval rating, which is more than Manchin does (+5) and he managed to win not only in 2018 but in 2012 even as Obama got thumped in WV. Granted, Alabama doesn’t have the same lingering remnants of Democratic legacy that have helped Manchin, but I still wouldn’t count a popular incumbent out completely. I doubt he loses by as much as Heitkamp, especially not with Moore as the nominee again. Then he might even be a slight favorite, or at least the race would be a toss-up more or less given the presidential year turnout. After all, is it not possible that some of the Alabama Republicans turning out for Trump might just leave their Senate ballots blank rather than vote for Moore?

West Virginia is not Alabama

[OSR stands with Israel]

This is a Tossup at best for Republicans with Moore, but Lean/Likely R without Moore. You’d think Republicans would have learned not to make overconfident predictions after one humiliating loss after another in red states, but apparently not. Can’t say I’m surprised.

Last time they had a humiliating loss in a red state was in 2012 and even then IN is not AL.

[OSR stands with Israel]

This is a Tossup at best for Republicans with Moore, but Lean/Likely R without Moore. You’d think Republicans would have learned not to make overconfident predictions after one humiliating loss after another in red states, but apparently not. Can’t say I’m surprised.

Last time they had a humiliating loss in a red state was in 2012 and even then IN is not AL.

Failing to unseat Manchin last year is a pretty humiliating defeat

Not even close , Manchin is pretty popular in the state and the seat was considered Lean D by almost every outlet

[OSR stands with Israel]

This is a Tossup at best for Republicans with Moore, but Lean/Likely R without Moore. You’d think Republicans would have learned not to make overconfident predictions after one humiliating loss after another in red states, but apparently not. Can’t say I’m surprised.

Last time they had a humiliating loss in a red state was in 2012 and even then IN is not AL.

Failing to unseat Manchin last year is a pretty humiliating defeat

Not even close , Manchin is pretty popular in the state and the seat was considered Lean D by almost every outlet

1. Trump had a approval rate of 65% in this state
2. Only 50% of voters had a favourable opinion of Manchin, the problem is that Morrissey had a favourabilty rate of only 37%

Manchin would have lost against Jenkins and the fact that republicans lost this very winnable race just because they nominated a pharmaceutical lobbyist is very humiliating in my opinion

It isn’t humiliating, like losing IN in 2012 was though or even losing NV was in 2010 . Also 50% on Election Day is good and at the very least will mean it will be close .

Manchin was considered the favorite throughout the cycle , even at this point of the 2018 cycle .

[OSR stands with Israel]

https://mobile.twitter.com/DougJonesHQ/status/1144682536016187393

How to lose Alabama 101 for dummies, seriously is he even trying anymore?

I'd rather him be a loving father than someone who would pretend to be homophobic for political gain.

I disagree.

You're ridiculous.  You are probably in favor of the Southern Democrats being racist during the Civil Rights Movement, because it gained them votes.

I am in favor of optimizing the chances of winning by doing almost whatever it takes (besides like the violent and illegal stuff).

Whats your opinion on George Wallace and William Fulbright

[OSR stands with Israel]

Apparently Jones still doesn’t understand that he is representing AL, not MA and that Trump has a < 60% approval rate in his home state.

https://twitter.com/DougJones/status/1186654648041648130?s=20

I don't care what state someone lives in, Trump's analogy was stupid and insane.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Go Tuberville

[OSR stands with Israel]

Go Tuberville

Why?

Sessions is opposed to legal immigration and his argument is Tuberville is for legal immigration.


Tuberville is strong on illegal immigration as well