Which race are Democrats more likely to win? (user search)
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  Which race are Democrats more likely to win? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: 🤔
#1
WY-GOV 2022
 
#2
GA-GOV 2022
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 56

Author Topic: Which race are Democrats more likely to win?  (Read 970 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 45,324


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« on: March 17, 2019, 04:57:05 PM »

a Democrat would win statewide in Arkansas before they even hit 45% in WY
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,324


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: March 17, 2019, 08:32:42 PM »

a Democrat would win statewide in Arkansas before they even hit 45% in WY

WY is more elastic than GA, we all know that’s all that counts, no? Same reason IA is far more likely to flip in 2020 than TX.

Not isnt lol: Here are the results of WY(2004-2016) to GA(2004-2016)

WY:

2004: R+39.8
2008: R+32.2
2012: R+40.8
2016: R+45.8

GA:


2004: R+16.6
2008: R+5.2
2012: R+7.8
2016: R+5.16

Now even if you look at Gubernatorial Races from 2002-2018:

WY:
2006: D+40
2010: R+42.8
2014: R+32.1
2018: R+39.6

GA:

2006: R+29.7
2010: R+10
2014: R+7.8
2018: R+1.4


The only big shift in WY was 2006-2010 and that was basically cause  no A, B or even C list  Republican candidate even ran in 2006 
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