LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term

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Have we gotten a Wulfric projection yet?

Looks like Wulfric News just like the rest of the stations isnt covering this

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What time will the first results started coming in

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How does this look for Edwards so far

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How does this look for Edwards so far

It's still early, but Edwards is only at 43% statewide.

But none of NO is in and barely any of BR either

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Let the record show I will happily admit I was wrong if JBE wins tonight. I wonder if the same can be said when Bevin crushes it in three weeks

Although JBE could still win, even tonight, his utter collapse in Acadiana makes me resigned to Bevin winning, since Appalachia has had similar voting patterns. Not a direct correlation, but worrying nonetheless.

True, but Kentucky has areas such as Oldham, Cincy burbs, Warren, Daviess, etc. Where Beshear could improve substantially on Conway.

Wait, you're finally admitting Trends Are Real?

Trends are real the question is just how long will the trends go on for lol, as a Republican I hope the Republicans can reverse them soon or the GOP will be screwed and be where the 1980s Dems were in Presidential Races .

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It's so annoying that this race is tight but nobody up here even considered voting out God-Emperor Charlie Baker.

Massachusetts' traditional fondness for Republican governors has not been eliminated by polarization.

Dems already having a veto proof majority  in the MA Legislature so voting for Republicans won’t have much affect other than putting a minor check on that legislature .

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It's so annoying that this race is tight but nobody up here even considered voting out God-Emperor Charlie Baker.

Massachusetts' traditional fondness for Republican governors has not been eliminated by polarization.

Dems already having a veto proof majority  in the MA Legislature so voting for Republicans won’t have much affect other than putting a minor check on that legislature .

I'm aware of this. But I've also argued earlier (and this may have been more relevant), that Massachusetts voters are far more willing to vote for a Republican governor than the contrary in a state such as Kentucky or Mississippi. Polarization hasn't had an even effect.

They are willing to vote Republican because of the fact they will have very little power except when it comes to slowing down tax increases etc.


In Oregon they don’t need to elect Republican Governors to do that because voters use ballot measures essentially to stop tax increases or super liberal legislation.

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I'm aware of this. But I've also argued earlier (and this may have been more relevant), that Massachusetts voters are far more willing to vote for a Republican governor than the contrary in a state such as Kentucky or Mississippi. Polarization hasn't had an even effect.

Or maybe it’s not because Democrats are "far more wiling" to vote for a Republican but simply because Republican governors in MA, MD, and VT virtually have zero power? You also conveniently tend to leave out the fact that there are more red state Democratic Senators than blue state Republican Senators whenever you complain about "polarization" among Republican voters (which is in pretty much every single one of your posts).

This is true, as we have Jones, Manchin, Tester, and Sinema. However, all four of these Senators won by very narrow margins. Jones is DOA in 2020 (and will get blown out by double digits by any Republican who is not Roy Moore), and Manchin and Tester would have lost last year if they had faced better opponents (I'm thinking of Evan Jenkins and Ryan Zinke, in particular). Also, weren't you the one who last year was claiming that Bredesen, Edmondson, Heitkamp, and others were going to win? They all got blown out by double digits, in spite of the fact that Bredesen was a popular former Governor facing a mediocre opponent, and that Edmondson was running in a state whose incumbent Republican Governor at the time had nearly destroyed it.

I don't complain of polarization in every single post: that is a lie. And I'm not the only one on here who shares these particular views. My views are colored by the harsh realities of the past few years.

MT though is a Lean R state outside Presidential Elections.

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If Beshear can win in KY then Bel Edwards should be able to win in LA. Lean D

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If Beshear Bevin can win in KY then Bel Edwards Vitter should be able to win in LA. Lean D R

This exact logic was applicable four years ago, and I said just as much...look what happened.

LA is more Dem than KY (and actually has as far back since 96) and Dems have a popular incumbent on the ballot in LA

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Something to keep in mind about Saturday:

The LSU-Bama game

Half the state will be glued to TVs or at watch parties

I wish both teams could lose