Should Democrats target AZ and GA in 2020? (user search)
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  Should Democrats target AZ and GA in 2020? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Should Democrats target AZ and GA in 2020?  (Read 2267 times)
Roronoa D. Law
Patrick97
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Posts: 3,500
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« on: November 14, 2016, 12:56:04 AM »

Should Democrats target AZ and GA in 2020?

Both state trended Democratic despite Hillary being a terrible candidate.

In fact, AZ and GA were closer than IA and OH.
I think you're ignoring that Trump was also a poor candidate, especially for these two states that have large metro areas with a large suburban white population that will likely swing back to the GOP in 2020. Arizona is more promising for Democrats than Georgia.
A "poor candidate" doesn't crack the electoral walls in WI, MI, and PA.  That's not the resume of a "poor candidate".

I agree that AZ is more promising than GA, but GA is increasing its black population at a rapid rate, and it's a more middle class black population that votes more often.  It's white population is also changing, and becoming (slowly) more liberal, as white working professionals move into metro Atlanta. 

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/11/01/white-voter-registration-sinks-below-57-percent-in-georgia/
http://onlineathens.com/local-news-uga-mobile/2016-06-21/georgia-growth-super-concentrated-atlanta-half-states-counties-are

- Whites are down over 90K in Georgia since 2012, the only group in decline.
- Half of the state's counties are losing population.

https://www.georgiapol.com/2016/11/09/cobb-county-trumpophobic/
https://www.georgiapol.com/2016/11/10/analysis-election-gwinnett/

Henry County was expected to flip to Clinton, but no mainstream experts expected Gwinnett to, never mind Cobb. The white vote is a little flexible it seems in Georgia, at least in Atlanta.

How rapid is that rural flight in rural Georgia?
About the same like most southern states most of the growth are in metros areas. Our black belt is loosing population not a good thing for Democrats but if they're move to Atlanta they probably more incline to vote.
http://www.indexmundi.com/facts/united-states/quick-facts/georgia/population-growth#chart
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