2019 Slovak presidential elections

[DavidB.]

Did SNS endorse Harabin?

[DavidB.]

With 21.6% of the vote in, it's 38.9% for Caputova, 18.9% for Sefcovic, 14.5% for Harabin and 10.6% for Kotleba.

[DavidB.]

Is Caputova connected to any oligarchs?

68.5% in and almost no changes: Caputova 39.4%, Sefcovic 18.8%, Harabin 14.5% and Kotleba 10.7%. Quite a good showing for Kotleba...

[DavidB.]

With 97.3% in, Caputova is now north of 40% at 40.5%. Sefcovic is a distant second at 18.7%, followed by Harabin at 14.4% and Kotleba at 10.4%. Kotleba now has 214k votes compared to almost 210k in the 2016 general election. Should indeed mean that turnout was high today.

[DavidB.]

How many Kotleba voters will actually be willing to turn out for Sefcovic, or, for that matter, to turn out for any non-L'SNS option?

[DavidB.]

this is not over. sefcovic, harabin and kotleba combine have more than caputova. anything can happen, remember peru when keiko won first round with 40%, second placed had 21% and then all ganged up against her and she lost.

This wouldn't have been over if Smer weren't as unpopular as they are right now. Even in 2014, before the protests and all that, they lost. Sefcovic's best bet is to dissociate from his party as much as possible, but it won't be enough. I'm guessing Caputova will be north of 60% in the runoff.