VA-Quinnipiac: Northam +17

[MT Treasurer]

Well, so much for Ds outperforming their polling average here, lol. Anyway, this poll is almost certainly garbage from an absolutely terrible pollster, but it's really looking as if Gillespie is doomed (and probably never had a chance to begin with, even if Clinton had won).

If some of these polls are accurate, Doug Jones in AL definitely has a better chance of winning his race than Ed Gillespie. Republicans should stop contesting any statewide or federal race here if Gillespie loses by more than 3. If it's closer than that, you can at least blame it on the fact that it's an off-year election and the D base is energized, but if not it's probably the best to triage this state and focus on keeping NC, FL and TX competitive. GA and AZ are probably doomed for the GOP in the long term and VA is headed the way of MD.