2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[MT Treasurer]

A GOP Senate wave would result from keeping Nevada and Arizona and picking up Missouri, Indiana, North Dakota, West Virginia, and Florida and/0r Pennsylvania.

lol@PA being more likely to flip than MT. And of course strong incumbent Dean Heller still wins in your scenario.

[MT Treasurer]

Too bad Hill is basically DOA in the primary. Not that I dislike Comstock or anything (she’s actually surprisingly decent for a NOVA Republican), but the NRCC needs to triage this race and focus on districts that are actually winnable, especially in the long run. Republicans are already losing the expectations game here badly (just like in last year's gubernatorial election).

[MT Treasurer]

Pretty good.

Imagine believing those numbers and still predicting that Heitkamp will lose by 8.